Severe WX Severe Threat 8/7/23

[StormStalker]

and discuss!

 

[Clancy]

Refresher: Moderate Risk over a large part of the Mid-Atlantic/Appalachians today. 45% wind risk and 10% tornado risk. Extensive wind damage possible across Eastern AL and GA into the Carolinas. Hot spot for TORs will be far southern PA southwestward into far NE TN.

 

[Clancy]

MDTs in August are a rare occurrence and today is the only August 10% tornado risk for much of the Mid-Atlantic.

 

[JPWX]

First 45% damaging wind probability for Chattanooga TN since March 2nd 2012.

 

[Clancy]

Trey with a discussion for today.

 

[Clancy]

WW likely coming later today for parts of TN/AL/MS/GA.

 

[TH2002]

Hmmm... 18z GFS forecasted sounding from near the SE TN/SW NC border area

 

[MichelleH]

Just heard tornado watch coming for my area.

 

[Clancy]

2 tornado watches out now.

 

[Clancy]

Severe Thunderstorm Watch now for AL/GA.

 

[Timhsv]

 

[Clancy]

Shear surprisingly strong today. Definitely enough for some spinups. Keep your eyes peeled!

 

[Brice]

I’m in Lynchburg, VA, definitely gonna be keeping the eyes to the sky, haven’t seen something like this since the derecho.

 

[Clancy]

First TOR of the day in WV.

 

[MichelleH]

Severe Thunderstorm Watch now for AL/GA.

Yeah, they decided to go with severe t'storm with possible tornado tag.

 

[Clancy]

Yeah, they decided to go with severe t'storm with possible tornado tag.

Probably a wise decision; a few spinups will definitely be possible but the winds will be the primary (and formidable) threat with any MCS that organizes later today.

 

[warneagle]

New tornado watch is coming

 

[Clancy]

Healthy hodos over the Eastern TN Valley.

 

[Clancy]

Storms in N AL beginning to pick up steam. CAMs indicate more than one round over this area today so watch out for flash flooding in addition to the winds.

 

[Clancy]

Very impressive spread of favorable severe parameters in the Apps today. VTP max of 8 in TN.