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Winter threat: 1/9-12/ 25

Let's see what happens with that heavier precip breaking out to the west and 850mb layer...if temps start running colder than modeled, we will know things may go differently. Models have been showing the temps crash a bit and then recover tomorrow....if the 850mb low winds up being weaker, the torch will not be as strong.
 
Let's see what happens with that heavier precip breaking out to the west and 850mb layer...if temps start running colder than modeled, we will know things may go differently. Models have been showing the temps crash a bit and then recover tomorrow....if the 850mb low winds up being weaker, the torch will not be as strong.
Great point

Last trend of the 850 level looks to be a little less amped, east of 65 and above I-20

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FWIW, 0Z close-range suites for FR and snow accumulation. Certainly hoping for more snow than ice, but, taken at face value, not super encouraging signals from the model presentations.
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Well, when I said sometimes temps rise preceding these events, I didn't really want to be right. I had hoped the whole atmosphere would cool off so we'd all just have snow ❄️. Obviously there's still time for evaporative cooling to turn things back around. Selma is the only site with an above 32 dp (34).
 
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