DetectiveWX
Member
- Messages
- 108
- Location
- Atlanta GA
Could be significant in the south..
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Winter threat: 1/9-12/ 25
- Thread starter DetectiveWX
- Start date
Gail
Member
- Messages
- 482
- Location
- Caledonia, MS
I’m not liking the pinks the models are showing for north-central Mississippi.
Sawmaster
Member
Upstate SC and lower WNC will see snow from 2"-6" and or ice. Pretty much certain now with only timing and amounts to be seen. Been awhile since we've had significant winter weather.
- Messages
- 1,409
- Location
- Atop Red Mountain Birmingham, Al
None of the model forecasted precip shields look right this morning. It's either too light or too far north. Hard to spot any kind of deformation zone that you would expect with the track.
- Messages
- 1,129
- Location
- Blount Springs
Low still in the gulf on all, both Euro and GFS think more warm nose than we'd want for snow - lots of ice on the latest runs.
- Messages
- 1,409
- Location
- Atop Red Mountain Birmingham, Al
Yes the track looks about perfect for I 20 corridor but I am afraid it's ice.
Gail
Member
- Messages
- 482
- Location
- Caledonia, MS
If that’s all Mother Nature has to offer, she can keep it. We don’t want ice.
- Messages
- 1,129
- Location
- Blount Springs
EU and GFS both put a decent back-side dusting on top of it. I wouldn't throw in the towel yet though - precip type is very hard to predict even for models, and it could fall as heavy snow or just rain easily. Preparing for an ice storm and hoping for either all snow or all rain. If I'm a met in Birmingham, Columbus, ATL... I'm starting to prepare folks for all three possibilities.
- Messages
- 1,129
- Location
- Blount Springs
Now imagine that low bombing out stronger than expected in the NW GOM. It wouldn't take being off by much to radically amp up the event. That track is giving me the vapors....lol.
- Messages
- 1,409
- Location
- Atop Red Mountain Birmingham, Al
Yeah there is no way yet to determine precip type...but as of right now, I am fairly sure freezing rain is a higher probability than all snow. Maybe it will change.
- Messages
- 1,409
- Location
- Atop Red Mountain Birmingham, Al
The dry slot will likely cutoff heavy precip central, maybe further north Alabama Fri afternoon
aujerm
Member
- Messages
- 99
- Location
- Cumming, GA
I assume we’d want that low to track further south to avoid the dry slot in north Alabama and north Georgia correct?
Thanksgivingbrown
Member
- Messages
- 230
- Location
- Huntsville, AL
It’s the Ukmet but it has been pretty consistent with this solution. Let’s hope it’s the winner
- Messages
- 6,226
- Location
- Birmingham
The NAM at the tail end of its range is a nightmare of freezing rain for north Lousianna
- Messages
- 1,129
- Location
- Blount Springs
Not good to have model agreement on that - GFS has been repeatedly crushing them too.
- Messages
- 1,129
- Location
- Blount Springs
12Z GFS is an ice storm from west TX to <checks notes> Maryland. Major Ick.
I gotta get back to Starkville Saturday for the start of the spring semester. May have to leave a couple days early to avoid snow/ice dangers while traveling from NW Mississippi.
- Messages
- 1,129
- Location
- Blount Springs
Texas winter storms are always absolute nightmares. Hope we can all miss out on ice, I absolutely do NOT want ice. This just looks like a terrible time. Would count on warm Gulf air sticking around, so it probably is a fairly probable outcome, unfortunately.
Noooooo
I know a lot of people like snow.. i dont. I don’t like being trapped for days. But ice. Ice is the absolute devil (Im in Tuscaloosa and that’s what the models keep trying to do here). No. No. No.
I know a lot of people like snow.. i dont. I don’t like being trapped for days. But ice. Ice is the absolute devil (Im in Tuscaloosa and that’s what the models keep trying to do here). No. No. No.