Severe WX Severe Wx Outbreak March 1st- 3rd, 2023 - Southern States, MS/OH/TN Valley

[Clancy]

Tornado Watch for KY.

 

[Chris3024]

Up to 76/67 and wind has shifted from SE to SW

 

[Chris3024]

Up to 76/67 and wind has shifted from SE to SW

Nevermind still mostly out of SE and have jumped 2° in 5 minutes

 

[Jbop]

I'm curious about something and a little new to this so sorry if this sounds a little stupid. Is there a reason why Birmingham is in a marginal risk for Tornadoes , but is included in the 70/50 tornado watch?

 

[Clancy]

Check out that CAPE over AL.

 

[172556]

TDS southeast of Paducah radar site

Edit: Warning updated to radar confirmed

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Check out that CAPE over AL.
View attachment 18556

That's a LOT more then the HRRR predicted what the heck

 

[Clancy]

That's a LOT more then the HRRR predicted what the heck

Considering the time frame, it's a lot higher than what it was saying the last few runs.

 

[keithGA]

Check out that CAPE over AL.

Ungood.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Considering the time frame, it's a lot higher than what it was saying the last few runs.

Not sure the storms will be able to utilize it though, but the HRRR has been less than admirable for this entire event

 

[Equus]

Extremely high winds along and behind this line, had easy 60mph winds here with tree damage and power out

 

[Clancy]

Not sure the storms will be able to utilize it though, but the HRRR has been less than admirable for this entire event

I'd say main saving grace, especially for Alabama, is the speed of advancement. Storms won't have much time to piddle around, so hopefully it'll spare us from more significant storms.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Considering the time frame, it's a lot higher than what it was saying the last few runs.

Just for example the current hrrr run says around 1000-1600sbcape as max around central Alabama right now lol

 

[Clancy]

I'd say main saving grace, especially for Alabama, is the speed of advancement. Storms won't have much time to piddle around, so hopefully it'll spare us from more significant storms.

Also, if we can keep that cloud cover over the ATL metro, it'd limit destabilization to a degree, though whether that happens remains to be seen.

 

[Equus]

Leading edge a minute before being blasted by damaging 60mph winds

 

[Tomcats Forever!]

Tornado Watch for KY.

70/50 probs

 

[hashslingingslasher256]

Sunshine out in Gadsden.

 

[172556]

70/50 probs

Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 85
mph likely



As someone in this polygon, no thanks.

 

[Chris3024]

Watching the area around Arley

 

[Chris3024]

Distructive tag, alert just came through my phone in Cullman