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Severe Weather Threat - November 3rd-6th, 2022

UK_EF4

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That storm which went through Idabel, OK now seems to be entering Arkansas… if the path length is continuous from NE Texas into Arkansas then we technically may have had a Tri-State tornado, in a sense.
 

TornadoFan

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The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 560, 561 continues.

SUMMARY...Confirmed dangerous tornadoes are ongoing across portions
of the ArkLaTex region. Threat will continue over the next couple of
hours.

DISCUSSION...Radar trends continue to show an uptick in intensity of
supercells across portions of the ArkLaTex region near the Red River
in the last couple of hours. Several confirmed tornadoes have been
reported within this region and are continuing. Near this region
lies the most favorable overlap of deep layer shear around 40-50+
kts (as observed by VAD profiles at Shreveport and Ft. Smith) along
with storm relative helicity 0-1 km around 300 m2/s2 and MLCAPE
around 1000-1500 J/kg slowly nudging north and eastward with time.
Objective surface analysis shows a sharp theta-e axis extending into
portions of western Louisiana into western Arkansas and eastern
Oklahoma. This will continue to be a favored region for more
discrete organized supercells and strong tornadoes in the next
couple of hours ahead of the cold front.
 

Bevo

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Could potentially track into Arkansas next, making it a tri-state tornado. Wow.
Looks like if it holds, it'll pass west of Hot Springs. Hopefully.
 

UK_EF4

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Definitely tornado otg here. Might be the new cell to watch, currently S of the main one. 2 more to keep an eye on To the south of that
 

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