Severe Weather Threat - November 3rd-6th, 2022

[TornadoFan]

This one heading towards Malakoff is rather concerning
View attachment 15358

Surprised that one hasn't dropped yet. It's been rotating pretty hard for a while.

 

[buckeye05]

Severe damage reported near Paris, TX

 

[TornadoFan]

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 560 continues.

SUMMARY...Tornado threat will continue across portions of northeast
Texas into western Arkansas and far northeastern Louisiana.
Downstream watch issuance is needed soon.

DISCUSSION...Radar trends continue to show rotating cells from
Choctaw to Limestone County in Texas. A confirmed tornado has been
reported in Choctaw County. The most favorable corridor for
supercells continues to be along the axis of surface moisture
convergence within the warm sector where dewpoints are in the 70s F
with MLCAPE around 1500-2000 J/kg. Shear profiles are highly
favorable within this region with curved hodographs and VAD profiles
at Fort Smith and Ft. Worth showing deep layer shear around 40 kts.
This threat will continue to translate downstream to the north and
east through the evening with the risk for long lived supercells
and potential for tornadoes, a few of which may be strong.

 

[buckeye05]

BWER and couplet outside of the Tornado Warning in SE Oklahoma.

 

[TornadoFan]

Reminds me alot of the Katie, Oklahoma tornado a few years back.

 

[Tennie]

BWER and couplet outside of the Tornado Warning in SE Oklahoma.

If that thing maintains its path over the next hour and a half, then it'll come dangerously close to the Forth Smith radar site!

 

[buckeye05]

Small but tight circulation about to move over Hawkins, TX

 

[buckeye05]

TDS in an unpopulated area outside of Albion, OK

 

[TornadoFan]

TDS in an unpopulated area outside of Albion, OK
View attachment 15363

Warning now states "radar confirmed tornado"

 

[buckeye05]

Apparently the Albion tornado is approaching a very small town called Hanobia, OK. Didn’t even see it in the map. Not good.

 

[buckeye05]

Also appears to be a small TDS just east of Holly Lake Ranch, TX which is north of Hawkins.

 

[TornadoFan]

Strong rotation east of Paris, near Deport.

 

[buckeye05]

Homes leveled and people trapped in the Powderly, TX area

 

[buckeye05]

Strong rotation east of Paris, near Deport.

Yeah it’s noisy but I see that. Bagwell area may be under the gun.

 

[TornadoFan]

Storm near Holly Lake Ranch might end up being a problem.

 

[buckeye05]

Hoooooo boy…

 

[buckeye05]

Storm near Holly Lake Ranch might end up being a problem.

Another area of concern farther west near Quitman too

 

[TornadoFan]

Hoooooo boy…
View attachment 15365

Confirmed on the ground with a TDS.

 

[buckeye05]

Confirmed on the ground with a TDS.

 

[TornadoFan]

Strong rotation SW of Tyler, as well.