Severe Weather Threat - November 3rd-6th, 2022

[Lake Martin EF4]

Gusty here in Oakland, TN. Leaves just flew against the windows and wall. Might be raining, not quite sure.

 

[OHWX97]

 

[Lake Martin EF4]

Mayfield vibes......

 

[UK_EF4]

Looks like relatively strong damage.

 

[TornadoFan]

 

[OHWX97]

Insane video taken by Robert Keith near Clarksville, TX. Possibly the same tornado that later hit Idabel.

 

[UK_EF4]

Wow. First time I’ve seen some damage from this outbreak and thought “That’s violent”. Obviously NWS will have final say. I expect we will see more instances of damage like this as the Sun is now up.

 

[atrainguy]

Wow. First time I’ve seen some damage from this outbreak and thought “That’s violent”. Obviously NWS will have final say. I expect we will see more instances of damage like this as the Sun is now up.

It seems there are several slabbed homes in Powderly. Of course we'll have to see what the construction quality was if it was EF4 plus, but regardless a very strong tornado.

 

[atrainguy]

Also, here's some drone footage from Idabel.



And a destroyed home in Cason.

 

[Bevo]

SPC made a great call with the moderate upgrade. Unfortunately, some of the worst fall weather I've seen in memory.
I recall earlier in the thread someone mentioning if it seemed like these higher impact fall/winter events have become more common. I certainly think so. 12/26/15, 10/20/19, and 1/10/20 come to mind for this area.

 

[Lake Martin EF4]

This was a home in Powderly. Emphasis on was.

 

[Tanner]

View attachment 15414
This was a home in Powderly. Emphasis on was.

The bottom pic was not the same home.


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[Tanner]

SPC made a great call with the moderate upgrade. Unfortunately, some of the worst fall weather I've seen in memory.
I recall earlier in the thread someone mentioning if it seemed like these higher impact fall/winter events have become more common. I certainly think so. 12/26/15, 10/20/19, and 1/10/20 come to mind for this area.

Nov. 4 2022 will be remembered as one of the greatest forecasted events by the SPC in my opinion…


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[Lake Martin EF4]

High end EF3 in Lamar County.

 

[Tanner]

High end EF3 in Lamar County.

Prelim? I’m assuming since it took days to get feedback on the rating of the Pembroke Georgia EF4, a proper survey team would take the time to get it right. However, I don’t see preliminary in the statement…


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[Lake Martin EF4]

Prelim? I’m assuming since it took days to get feedback on the rating of the Pembroke Georgia EF4, a proper survey team would take the time to get it right. However, I don’t see preliminary in the statement…


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They stated in a different tweet that this weekends surveys will all be prelim.

 

[Tanner]

They stated in a different tweet that this weekends surveys will all be prelim.

Okay, I must have missed that tweet. Thank you.


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[Lake Martin EF4]

 

[buckeye05]

It’s NWS Fort Worth, and they are one of the most conservative survey teams. Even if those slabbed houses end up being well-built, I’m not expecting them to go above EF3 knowing their track record.

Obviously multiple violent candidates from this outbreak though.

 

[Tanner]

It’s NWS Fort Worth, and they are one of the most conservative survey teams. Even if those slabbed houses end up being well-built, I’m not expecting them to go above EF3 knowing their track record.

Obviously multiple violent candidates from this outbreak though.

Really? Are there any notable surveys that you would consider 'conservative' in recent years from the Fort Worth WFO?