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Severe WX Severe Weather Threat January 23-25, 2023

Look at the newest cips analog guidance, previous analogs and forecast guidance shows this only be a south of i20 corridor threat. Matches well with current forecast. I'f a threat is to materialize. I'll check the top analogs and have a looksy. Screenshot_20230121-072826-258.png
 
I smell a Forecasted Convective Amplification Deficiency coming lol, no way the warm sector makes it north of south Alabama lol, albeit the threat In south Alabama should be pretty potent.
 
UncleJuJu98 said:
I smell a Forecasted Convective Amplification Deficiency coming lol, no way the warm sector makes it north of south Alabama lol, albeit the threat In south Alabama should be pretty potent.
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And now that is EXACTLY what is going to happen because you said it won’t.

Don’t play with Dixie, you know how ridiculously temperamental it is!!!!!!!!
 
I am taking notes of everyone who is doubting the warm sector and calling for a Forecasted Convective Amplification Deficiency. If the warm sector some how ends up moving north, (and/or the system possibly poses a more substantial threat), I am going to crack up. LOL!!!!! I am not a MET by any means but I LIVE here. This is ****DIXIE ALLEY**** and you know Dixie doesn’t always play by the “rules” and does surprising things (sometimes at the last minute).
 
KevinH said:
I am taking notes of everyone who is doubting the warm sector and calling for a Forecasted Convective Amplification Deficiency. If the warm sector some how ends up moving north, (and/or the system possibly poses a more substantial threat), I am going to crack up. LOL!!!!! I am not a MET by any means but I LIVE here. This is ****DIXIE ALLEY**** and you know Dixie doesn’t always play by the “rules” and does surprising things (sometimes at the last minute).
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I agree, I think there's still time for some major shifts, hopefully not we should get a better picture once this run completes.

Still a potent atmosphere if a northward shift is not realized. All it really takes is one devastating tornado to make it a very bad day.
 
In other notes Kevin, you have potential for a few severe storms spin up tornadoes in your neck of the woods or near it tommorow lol, and also based on the 18z hrrr run the possibility of a few snow showers that won't stick to the ground could be possible near the bham area lol.
 
UncleJuJu98 said:
In other notes Kevin, you have potential for a few severe storms spin up tornadoes in your neck of the woods or near it tommorow lol, and also based on the 18z hrrr run the possibility of a few snow showers that won't stick to the ground could be possible near the bham area lol.
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Good to know SMDH

Thanks lol
 
Lol I think it's time to look ahead to other weather events haha, this has turned into a poo poo major event. More and likely Got a Gulf hugging warm front.
 
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