Severe WX Severe Weather Threat - Jan 2nd - Jan 4th, 2023

[CheeselandSkies]

Pair of tornado warnings just popped up with the activity west of Ft. Polk.

 

[Austin Dawg]

12z 3km NAM valid at 3pm tomorrow along with a sounding near Amory, MS
View attachment 16390View attachment 16391

I don't like the look of that. I did not think it would get that far north.

 

[KevinH]

You've got it right

Edit: If you're ever unsure, this site's super straightforward and includes figures demonstrating zone time differences from GMT: https://time.is/GMT

This is what I do in my head:

09 (Z time given)
-5 (during EST)

That equals 04…. 0400 in military time is 4am ET


During DST, I subtract 4 from the Z time and “convert” that number from military (24h) time to the 12 hour time.
So…..
09 (Z time)
-4 (during EDT)

That equals 5… 0500 in military time is 5AM ET, lol

I also bookmark this page: https://www.ready.noaa.gov/READYtime.php

 

[OHWX97]

The tornado warned storm in Sabine Parish, LA looks like bad news.

 

[cincywx]

The tornado warned storm in Sabine County, LA looks like bad news.

intense mesocyclone if not a tornado

 

[SmokeEater]

Small meso discussion for the area of those LA cells, mentioning the threat for strong, brief tornadoes increasing.

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[CheeselandSkies]

Small meso discussion for the area of those LA cells, mentioning the threat for strong, brief tornadoes increasing.

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Perhaps like this? I can't believe this wasn't on the ground, but there never was an obvious TDS.

 

[JPWX]

Rotation with the Belmont, LA storm

 

[KevinH]

Small meso discussion for the area of those LA cells, mentioning the threat for strong, brief tornadoes increasing.

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Yep!

“And, favorable/increasing low-level hodograph curvature (150-200 m2/s2 0-1 km SRH) per SHV VWP data should support a few discrete or semi-discrete supercells capable of producing tornadoes (some possibly strong but mostly brief) and damaging gusts.”

 

[OHWX97]

TOG southeast of Pleasant Hill, LA.

 

[JBishopwx]

 

[Austin Dawg]

TOG southeast of Pleasant Hill, LA.

But isn't that outside of the tornado watch? At least it is on my radar application.

 

[JPWX]

Pleasant Hill storm.

 

[SmokeEater]

Tornado watch issued for E OK, SE KS and NW AR.

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[OHWX97]

I'm getting really concerned about the supercell near Natchitoches, LA. Doesn't have much of anything to compete with for the time being.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

I'm getting really concerned about the supercell near Natchitoches, LA. Doesn't have much of anything to compete with for the time being.

Went tornado-warned just that quick.

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[OHWX97]

But isn't that outside of the tornado watch? At least it is on my radar application.

Correct. Sabine Parish isn't included in the tornado watch.

 

[Shakespeare 2016]

I am in the new tornado watch but just barely.

 

[Tennie]

The Natchitoches cell is trying REALLY hard to get its act together:

 

[JPWX]

I am in the new tornado watch but just barely.

Had to do a double take because I read that as I am the new tornado watch LOL!