Severe WX Severe Weather Threat - Jan 2nd - Jan 4th, 2023

[CheeselandSkies]

 

[JPWX]

Dude! I've seen that movie so many times I can quote it word for word. Big Star Wars nerd as well as meteorological nerd.

 

[Tennie]

Brandon Copic's car got into an accident near Arcadia, LA. Vince Waelti's checked in on him, and he's OK, thankfully.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

So far this event is reminding me of the December one, where we had a lot of couplets/some apparently strong, but relatively little in the way of clear significant touchdowns/debris signatures.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

Looks like if/when any initiation back along the front in TX/OK gets its act together, it will be well east of the I-35 corridor and the DFW metroplex, so that's good news.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

Suspicious there east of Jonesboro (LA)...

It is colocated with the couplet but my saved image with the velocity won't attach.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

No doubt about it now. 0.5 degree beam is at nearly 6,000' up so that debris is getting up there.

 

[Tennie]

No doubt about it now. 0.5 degree beam is at nearly 6,000' up so that debris is getting up there.

The warning's been given a PDS upgrade as well.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

While that cell finally produced, and the warning was extended northward, based on radar structure it's probably about done. I'd watch the ones back west and north of Ft. Polk for the next short-term tornado threat.

Some storms back in eastern Oklahoma have gone severe, but their structure doesn't look stellar for tornado production at least in the near term.

 

[Tennie]

It looks like we have a comma head forming around Ruston, LA:

 

[OHWX97]

Eastern Oklahoma is looking real suspicious right about now. The severe storms appear to be growing more organized and supercellular.

 

[Tennie]

Eastern Oklahoma is looking real suspicious right about now. The severe storms appear to be growing more organized and supercellular.

A couple TORs have already been issued in that area now.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

LSR just popped up for tree damage just east of Jonesboro, LA.

 

[WesL]

Eastern Oklahoma is looking real suspicious right about now. The severe storms appear to be growing more organized and supercellular.

Watching those storms closely.

The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
West central Haskell County in southeastern Oklahoma...
Eastern McIntosh County in southeastern Oklahoma...
North central Pittsburg County in southeastern Oklahoma...

* Until 615 PM CST.

* At 530 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Canadian, moving northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree
damage is likely.

* Locations in or near the path include...
Eufaula... Checotah...
Crowder... Canadian...
Indianola... Rentiesville...
Stidham... Arrowhead State Park...
Lake Eufaula State Park... Vivian...
Onapa...

 

[CheeselandSkies]

Yeah, I may eat my words about those OK storms. Eufaula one in particular looks like trouble.

 

[OHWX97]

Likely tornado currently passing between Pryor Creek and Adair, OK. Very tight couplet.

 

[TH2002]

CC drop

 

[OHWX97]

Certainly getting the look of a real troublemaker.

 

[TornadoFan]

Tight rotation headed for Georgetown, Arkansas.

 

[SmokeEater]

Cell heading for W Monroe LA has a nasty couplet.

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