CheeselandSkies
Member
I think this warrants its own thread at this point. 15% hatched MDT out for today, tomorrow upgraded from Marginal to Slight,* another round for the Plains looking likely on Thursday.
*Not too often you see an unhatched slight risk outlook where the text mentions the possibility of strong tornadoes. The placement and intensity of the H5 trough and surface features forecast for 21z tomorrow-0z Thursday look pretty near ideal for a significant outbreak in the upper Midwest, but of course instability is in doubt. I can't blame SPC for being a little gun-shy after going with higher-end categorical outlooks for so many conditional threats that have failed to pan out thus far this spring.
*Not too often you see an unhatched slight risk outlook where the text mentions the possibility of strong tornadoes. The placement and intensity of the H5 trough and surface features forecast for 21z tomorrow-0z Thursday look pretty near ideal for a significant outbreak in the upper Midwest, but of course instability is in doubt. I can't blame SPC for being a little gun-shy after going with higher-end categorical outlooks for so many conditional threats that have failed to pan out thus far this spring.