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Severe Weather Threat 3/13-3/15/2024

Today’s risk went from a tiny slight risk 24 hours ago to a big slight risk covering all of the northern Gulf and an enhanced risk over central Texas.
 
Looks like the Lakeview tornado (Logan Co. OH) has been upgraded to EF3 per NWS ILN. Was earlier EF2 in the Orchard Island area via PNS.
 
The only thing is that contextual damage isn’t that intense…unless the vortex core was just that narrow. But then again several ef4’s this decade had lesser contextual damage. Most notably Winterset and caviness
 
The church that got essentially flattened in Winchester is another spot of interest.

 
Post-event analysis from Trey.
 
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