Severe Weather Threat 3/13-3/15/2024

[TH2002]

The expected value for DOD 8 on the SRB DI is 167 MPH, which is already low-end EF4. Considering how well anchored it appears to have been, wouldn't be surprised if they go with a wind speed closer to UB.

 

[Tomcats Forever!]

Nothing on Hot Springs Village?

 

[OHWX97]

Nothing on Hot Springs Village?

 

[tornado examiner]

It looks like the March ef4 streak may indeed continue

 

[atrainguy]

 

[andyhb]

7 tornadoes thus far confirmed in the Wilmington OH (ILN) CWA.

Public Information Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
935 PM EDT Fri Mar 15 2024

...UPDATE ON TORNADO CONFIRMATIONS FROM MARCH 14...

The National Weather Service in Wilmington OH has completed its
first day of storm surveys following the severe weather event on
March 14.

While there are no immediate plans for additional surveys,
National Weather Service staff will continue to assess information
provided to us by local and state officials, Emergency Management
Agencies, and weather spotters. This process is expected to take
several days. Numerous long-track tornadoes have occurred, and our
continued analysis will work to determine if some of these long
swaths of damage are the result of a single tornado or multiple
separate tornadoes.

At this time, seven areas of tornadic damage have been identified
within the NWS Wilmington OH coverage area. This count may change
as we continue to assess the continuity of the damage.

* EF1 in Switzerland County IN and Carroll County KY. This tornado
began further west in Indiana and additional information will
follow after coordination with NWS Louisville KY.

* EF1 in western Mercer County OH, west of Celina.

* EF1 in eastern Mercer County OH and western Auglaize County OH,
west of Wapakoneta.

* EF3 beginning in southern Auglaize County OH near Fryburg,
continuing through the Lakeview area in northern Logan County
OH.

* EF2 in central Union County OH near Broadway.

* EF1 beginning in central Delaware County OH, continuing through
north-central Licking County OH.

* EF2 in Darke County OH and Miami County OH. This tornado began
in Indiana and additional information will follow after
coordination with NWS Indianapolis IN.

Final details on these tornadoes, including track statistics and
estimated maximum wind speeds, will be released as our analysis
continues over the next several days.

$$

HATZOS

 

[UK_EF4]

Interested to see what rating that destroyed church will receive (unless it already has been and I've missed it).

 

[OHWX97]

Large supercells developed across northeast Mexico yesterday, resulting in giant, destructive hail, particularly in the city of Sabinas, Coahuila.

 

[KevinH]

Those streaks seem to be really small. I thought they would be wider.

 

[Tennie]

Those streaks seem to be really small. I thought they would be wider.

That tornado must've been a multi-vortex drillbit to produce such concentrated cyclodical markings.

 

[Shakespeare 2016]

That tornado must've been a multi-vortex drillbit to produce such concentrated cyclodical markings.

That was exactly my thoughts.

 

[buckeye05]

The Winchester damage path seems to indicate it was indeed a relatively narrow tornado with a very concentrated, violent core. Buildings right near the leveled Taco Bell and church were not affected nearly as bad as those two structures, despite potentially EF4 damage just across the street.

Edit: Looks like they’re gonna keep it at high-end EF3. Probably lack of interior walls if I had to guess.

 

[Shakespeare 2016]

The Winchester damage path seems to indicate it was indeed a relatively narrow tornado with a very concentrated, violent core. Buildings right near the leveled Taco Bell and church were not affected nearly as bad as those two structures, despite potentially EF4 damage just across the street.

Edit: Looks like they’re gonna keep it at high-end EF3. Probably lack of interior walls if I had to guess.

Take this with a grain of salt. My uncle on my moms side told me the udall 1955 F5 tornado swept away an entire house leaving the table with dishes on it and a refrigerator that was plugged into the socket.

 

[Shakespeare 2016]

The Winchester damage path seems to indicate it was indeed a relatively narrow tornado with a very concentrated, violent core. Buildings right near the leveled Taco Bell and church were not affected nearly as bad as those two structures, despite potentially EF4 damage just across the street.

Edit: Looks like they’re gonna keep it at high-end EF3. Probably lack of interior walls if I had to guess.

Source please!

 

[tornado examiner]

Source please!

Yeah I have not seen anything indicating they’ve decided anything yet

 

[tornado examiner]

The lakeview tornado might have had intense to violent damage west of the lake…strong scour marks on satellite

 

[TH2002]

The lakeview tornado might have had intense to violent damage west of the lake…strong scour marks on satellite

Link?

 

[tornado examiner]

Link?

It's something that nick kras posted…on twitter

 

[buckeye05]

It's something that nick kras posted…on twitter

lol if you’re talking about this… that is not evidence of a violent tornado.

 

[tornado examiner]

lol if you’re talking about this… that is not evidence of a violent tornado.
View attachment 24392

Idk…i said might have had…its not easy to tell until we get drone or ground imagery from that area.