notsoencrypted
Member
Bryce Shelton is in the area of the warning: https://livestormchasing.com/
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Severe Weather 2025
- Thread starter KevinH
- Start date
atrainguy
Member
Is this in fact a TDS?
EDIT: radar indicated warning now.
EDIT: radar indicated warning now.
notsoencrypted
Member
Another warning, south of the other.
AJS
Member
Wow. lots of activity so far.
Kds86z
Member
Thanksgivingbrown
Member
TOG mackinaw Illinois. Live on Ryan Y’all stream
TornadoFan
Member
Brandon Copic had it on his stream.
atrainguy
Member
Apparently the gustnadoes are out and about too.
Kds86z
Member
Dang wish I saw it
atrainguy
Member
Another small tornado on his stream. Watch Ryan Hall's stream, he has Brandon up.
Moisture is pretty low right now thanks to mixing, dewpoints in the low 50s are not going to be sufficient for a more robust tornado threat here.
cheeznado
Member
Unimpressed so far. mostly gustnadoes, Live streams show the T warned cell is outflow dominant. I was skeptical of the 10% hatched risk anyway.
It’s usually in reference to a skew t (aka a sounding) and is indicative of the environment, not necessarily a storm.
You have a layer of warm and dry air above the surface that is warmer than the air parcels underneath it. That acts as a “lid” because parcels can’t “break” through it to form thunderstorms. The energy will continue to build underneath it. Parcels only rise if they are warmer than the air around them.
It’s considered a loaded gun because once the cap erodes, thunderstorms can quickly form. So the environment is loaded so to speak, but the trigger isn’t ready to get pulled.
This is a good example. This is from the morning of 4/3/74, Montgomery, Alabama. Textbook example Of a loaded gun. You can see the sudden increase to the right in temperature of the red (temperature line) and the sudden increase to the left of the green (dew point line). Indicating the temperatures are both warmer and drier than what is below it.
AJS
Member
Anyone looked at the updated models for Sunday today yet? Been extremely busy with final exam prep today.
Skeptical this is debris signature but this is what was radar confirmed for 
Tomcats Forever!
Member
Don't quite understand how we ended up under a watch In Louisville
Tomcats Forever!
Member
Watch me eat my words, Tornado warning in Southern Indiana.
What
CheeselandSkies
Member
Was pretty clear by the time I got off work that the aggressive runs indicating greater potential for a quality early season, marginal-moisture northern Illinois tornado event were overblown, so I sat today out.
Did hear my first thunder of the year (wasn't any that I noticed around here last Friday) with the morning round with surface temperatures in the upper 30s, then we got some small and (fortunately fairly soft) hail with a midday round.
Did hear my first thunder of the year (wasn't any that I noticed around here last Friday) with the morning round with surface temperatures in the upper 30s, then we got some small and (fortunately fairly soft) hail with a midday round.
Louisville always finds a way to get in on the action.