A cold front. Yawn. As I stated elsewhere, I am not impressed with the upcoming pattern.
You’ll most likely be waiting until Mid April for a chase if this pattern holds.
Which is why I actually wrote out that post. It was basically piggybacking off of the excellent research and groundwork Fred & Matt both did for this season. Especially with that background pattern possibly poised to swing back through Mid-Late April. You could have a situation where you have the optimal background state, similar to what produced Friday & Saturday, with an extremely moist gulf with rich moisture just sitting there waiting all of the rest of March and possibly early April. That sort of thing has usually yielded your larger outbreaks in the southeast.
I grew up in the rolling hills of Pennsylvania so the corn belt always bored me BUT it can be VERY photogenic in its way. Thanks for this
Thank you! Illinois although boring more times than not to drive through (same with Indiana and Ohio) can provide some of the best terrain any storm chaser could ask for.
Say our worst month going be April ….at least for the mid south Dixie areas
Are you talking about This one? That really is quite the look. This is the operational Euro 0Z run.
Yes, that's what I was referring to. Edited this comment because I was wrong with what I stated originally - I definitely did look at the same run. The run before had a far more meridional flow regime to it, but this completely switched up and looks way nastier.
Right around the anniversary of March 31, 2023 too.
I was actually thinking of visiting Rolling Fork to see how everyone’s been doing and the progress the town is making.
The 12Z Euro ensembles are also in more agreement with the GEFS. Like you so perfectly said, we have no clue right now how the rest of March will trend.
