GFS has finally stopped flip flopping. The last 4 runs have been in agreement with Euro and Canadian on moisture.
Its safe to say that there will be at least a slight risk of severe weather on Wednesday, Feb 1.
Oh wow…. That is kind of a large slight area. I’ll be watching the convective outlooks lol
5 days and the 10 days is watchable. Playing with the idea of potentially starting a thread.... Because it looks like a similar pattern of bowling balls for mid February....GFS has the next system to watch for parts of the South around 10 days from now. Right now it suggests that the rich moist sector that gets pulled inland could be fairly narrow, as the Gulf may still be recharging from this Arctic surge. However I have noticed that the GFS in particular seems to be prone to a cold bias in the longer range. Not to mention the actual orientation/amplification/timing of the trough and associated surface response, so a lot of details yet to be ironed out.
Seems like hyperbole. Pattern favors some bowling balls through. Hopefully this pattern isn't persistent.Recently saw this on Twitter and it kind of made me laugh, but at the same time made me quiet (given the recent comments people have made in this thread about this time frame. The date of this tweet is worth mentioning.