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Severe Weather 2022

The severe weather season for year 2022 will be?

  • Above Average

    Votes: 15 68.2%
  • Average

    Votes: 7 31.8%
  • Below Average

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Total voters
    22
  • Poll closed .
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Clancy

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FFC AFD mentions chance for strong storms with next week's system.
A cold front is anticipated again on Wednesday and into Thursday of
next week. With low pressure centered over the Great Lakes and a few
days of higher than seasonal temps a forecasted dewpoints in the mid
60s on Wednesday, a few strong thunderstorms may be possible in this
setup.
Lots can change over the next few days, as a lot of the lower
level dynamics will depend on timing.
BMX's is likewise.
As we approach mid-week, another trough is expected to swing through
the Plains, developing a low pressure system that will lift quickly
northeastward into the Great Lakes region. There`s still a lot of
details that need to be worked out with this next mid-week system,
but it shows an early potential for strong to severe storms and will
need to be watched
over the coming days.
 

JPWX

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Someone got mad....

will ferrel jon favreau GIF
 

JBishopwx

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Euro and GFS are both showing a chance around the 9th/10th and moving towards MS/AL by the 11th/12th. Probably our next severe weather event.
 
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Euro and GFS are both showing a chance around the 9th/10th and moving towards MS/AL by the 11th/12th. Probably our next severe weather event.
havent had chance look at the longer range, but sure it be over the same exact areas as past one, as a storm chaser from tennessee seems like i have travel away from home catch any action past few seasons. proably another swing a miss for most the midsouth. but i wait till 0z tonites runs start dig into it.
 

Fred Gossage

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I see maybe some potential for adequate low-level moisture to make it onshore into southern MS/AL and the FL panhandle during that period, but I don't think it comes too far northward. Unless something changes a good bit from what it has looked like this morning/afternoon, if there is a threat within the next 10-14 days, it is likely suppressed, coastal, and nothing that looks synoptically evident as being significant.
 

Fred Gossage

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I see maybe some potential for adequate low-level moisture to make it onshore into southern MS/AL and the FL panhandle during that period, but I don't think it comes too far northward. Unless something changes a good bit from what it has looked like this morning/afternoon, if there is a threat within the next 10-14 days, it is likely suppressed, coastal, and nothing that looks synoptically evident as being significant.
And just as I say that, the 18z GFS comes in with a face value more robust looking threat around the 10th-11th for classic Dixie Alley. HOWEVER, that is ~240 hours out, and we take that with a whole shaker of salt, not just a grain...
 
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