KevinH
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- 2,511
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- West Central GA
For which areas?
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Severe Weather 2022
- Thread starter Taylor Campbell
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- 2,836
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- Smithville MS
thundersnow
Member
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- 369
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- Nolensville, TN
That date range is really far out (>10 days from now). I assume he’s reading a large scale setup without zeroing in on specifically where just yet.
DetectiveWX
Member
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- 110
- Location
- Atlanta GA
Far out, but definitely entering the fall/winter tornado season in Hoosier/Dixie
Watch far eastern Texas on Friday near Houston.
High res models like the 3KM NAM and HRRR show some strong updraft helicity streaks in this 5% risk area.
CheeselandSkies
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- 3,849
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- Madison, WI
Day 7 outlook area up for this coming week Friday. Of course it's when I'll be out of the country (wife & I 1st anniversary trip to Cancun). Also keeping an eye on that Caribbean tropical system, although at this time it looks to go due west into CA.
13 hour drive for me to Austin, Texas. The EURO and the GFS model looked rough from there into east Texas on Saturday.
Models are all over the place the evolution of this trough as it moves onshore from the Pacific. Looks like they are trending back to a more progressive solution, with the low eventually cutting off but continuing to eject east. Models looked like they might try to cut that low off and slow it down over AZ/NM for a while, but that solution has much less model support now. Looks like there's no issue with moisture return ahead of this trough, so it's more of a where/when things line up as opposed to if.
Those changing model trends keep bouncing it back and forth between rain and snow solutions out here in Utah.
Those changing model trends keep bouncing it back and forth between rain and snow solutions out here in Utah.
Tornado Watch up for South Mississippi and parts of Louisiana
KevinH
Member
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- 2,511
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- West Central GA
Here we go.
Confirmed damaging tornado just north of downtown Moss Point, MS.
Great job Nadocast for picking up on this locally enhanced chance for tornadoes in this area today. Went from 5% to 10% to 15%.
Only took a single scan for this to pop up... wow.
Two tornadoes on the ground.
Austin Dawg
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- 1,013
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- Leander, Texas
Moss Point tornado
Wow. Does anybody know if it was on the ground as the storm moved onshore? I worked in that area a lot at my previous job.
Looks like this threat isn’t over for several more hours. Mobile, AL is about to see some supercells come onshore and then the storms back to the west.
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