Severe Weather 2022

[MichelleH]

SPC D4 for possible MCS across parts of the SE on Friday.
View attachment 14470

As long as it's not Saturday! Praying for fantastic weather Saturday night!!

 

[Argus]

Meanwhile, Central Alabama and Atlanta westward are in a Day 2 slight risk due to one maybe two MCS threats tomorrow.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

SPC in with an effective "the struggle is real" on the 13Z outlook:

...Evening to early morning guidance has horribly simulated the bulk of ongoing convection, with the 07-09Z HRRR runs at least in the ballpark...

 

[xJownage]

SPC in with an effective "the struggle is real" on the 13Z outlook:

I don't know what's been going on, but the CAMs have been horrible at depicting morning convection recently. I don't know if something is up with the data input or what but it's been worse than I can ever remember seeing it.

 

[Argus]

The morning MCS over Alabama is not moving quickly to the east and south.

 

[OHWX97]

There's some potential for a remnant MCV tornado event for much of the Ohio Valley this afternoon and evening. I would absolutely consider chasing, but alas, I must work.

...OH Valley/Midwest...
A weakening MCS is ongoing across the Mid-MS Valley along a warm
front. A continued weakening trend is anticipated through midday
with a remnant MCV tracking east across central IL/IN. As the warm
front advances northeast, a plume of 60s surface dew points combined
with pockets of greater insolation to the south and in the wake of
the MCV, in conjunction with steepening mid-level lapse rates given
the approaching shortwave trough should result in destabilization
and a pronounced gradient of MLCAPE this afternoon. Several
supercells will likely develop within a belt of strong mid-level
westerlies attendant to the shortwave trough and enhanced
lower-level flow attendant to the MCV. Should adequate
destabilization occur where low-level hodographs are enlarged,
potential for a few tornadoes will exist, in addition to scattered
damaging winds and large hail. Convection should subside after dusk,
but adequate low to deep-layer shear may support an isolated severe
threat persisting tonight.

..Grams/Broyles.. 06/08/2022

 

[CheeselandSkies]

Reading between the lines of SPC's SWODY1 and MCD #1089, it sounds like the potential exists for a considerably more significant tornado event than implied by the slight risk/5%. Should be a decent chase for anyone in the area who has the time free, but as per usual it wasn't synoptically apparent with enough lead time for anyone else to plan for it, while the 15% hatched moderate risks go to slop.

 

[atrainguy]

 

[OHWX97]

A couple of cells developing over Bloomington, IN could pose a tornado threat if they continue to intensify. Already some weak rotation evident on velocity with both storms.

 

[OHWX97]

There’s an ongoing tornado near Linville, IN. Not warned currently.

 

[Sawmaster]

It's popping. Heavy damage reported in Arlington confirmed tornado. Reed Timmner's covering these cells.

Phil

 

[CheeselandSkies]

A lot of hooks and a few touchdowns earlier, but it seems like most cells have had trouble maintaining persistent, vigorous low-level mesocyclones.

Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk

 

[Sawmaster]

Got crazy for a little bit, then calmed down. May do more later on. Or not.

Phil

 

[Kolle]

It appears the Terminal Doppler at Dayton International was taken out by a tornado...or at least is offline until further notice.

 

[TornadoFan]

Earlier tornado near Tipp City, Ohio. New tornado warning SE of Wilmington.

 

[buckeye05]

Today was NOT fun. One of my best friends works at the Meijer distribution warehouse that partially collapsed in Tipp City and I couldn’t reach him for a while there. I really thought he was hurt or worse, but I just reached him and he’s shaken up but alright. Said it was the loudest, scariest experience of his life.

Gonna have a lot of damage paths to survey in my area in the coming days.

 

[MichelleH]

Just lost power and RadarScope is showing a possible tornado headed my way near Hanceville. Help please.

 

[MichelleH]

It appears to have calmed a bit.

 

[TornadoFan]

I think Littleton, West Virginia just took a hit by a significant tornado

 

[atrainguy]

Somebody got video of the Tipp City tornado hitting the warehouse earlier: