Severe Weather 2021

[MichelleH]

TOR Warning just went by to my north a couple of miles heading east. I was watching it and wondered if I was seeing things.,View attachment 7302

Glad you're OK!!

 

[Clancy]

CIPS for Saturday is worth taking note of.

 

[Austin Dawg]

Some damage coming out of Bertram, TX @Austin Dawg

That's just a couple of miles NW of my location where I noticed the signature on radar from the approaching storm. I kept looking at the radar going out and looking and the clouds which were very low but I couldn't see if they were rotating. I thought I was just having delusions until they popped up the warning.

Guess I will believe RadarScope Pro from now on. It was a good example of how any severe thunderstorm can become tornadic at any time and we still don't understand why.

 

[akt1985]

A slight risk of severe thunderstorms is out for Saturday for parts of the Tennessee, mid-Mississippi and Ohio River Valleys per the SPC.

 

[gangstonc]

A slight risk of severe thunderstorms is out for Saturday for parts of the Tennessee, mid-Mississippi and Ohio River Valleys per the SPC.

Yes. Looks to be mainly a straight line wind event, but those can be just as dangerous and damaging as tornadoes.

 

[tennessee storm chaser]

Yes. Looks to be mainly a straight line wind event, but those can be just as dangerous and damaging as tornadoes.

There adding enhanced to it now. Saying tornadoes also. With 10 percent on that

 

[warneagle]

We've got a slight risk with a 15% hatched area up here for Sunday. Mainly for damaging winds.

 

[gangstonc]

There adding enhanced to it now. Saying tornadoes also. With 10 percent on that

Yes they did!

 

[tennessee storm chaser]

Should a thread be started for tomorrow’s enhanced for now?

 

[MattW]

Glen Burns just posted on Facebook that behind Sunday's threat, another potential one next Wednesday (Mar 31st).

 

[KevinH]

Glen Burns just posted on Facebook that behind Sunday's threat, another potential one next Wednesday (Mar 31st).

For which states?

 

[gangstonc]

For which states?

He shows northern GA and central AL. I believe he took the EURO at face value.

 

[MattW]

To those of you far better at reading the long-range better than I, what are we looking at severe wise? I think we have some marginal stuff on Wednesday, but anything beyond that?

 

[CheeselandSkies]

To those of you far better at reading the long-range better than I, what are we looking at severe wise? I think we have some marginal stuff on Wednesday, but anything beyond that?

Looks like a relative lull for about the next two weeks, from more widespread/higher-ceiling threats at least.

 

[Equus]

Looking at subseasonal indicators it feels like we may be alright until the second half of April but that's far from a guarantee, quick glance at modeling shows high pressure and mostly quiet conditions for a while after Wednesday though

 

[MattPetrulli]

Looking at subseasonal indicators it feels like we may be alright until the second half of April but that's far from a guarantee, quick glance at modeling shows high pressure and mostly quiet conditions for a while after Wednesday though

Probably get the plains going after next week but nothing that screams outbreak, however.

 

[Taylor Campbell]

To those of you far better at reading the long-range better than I, what are we looking at severe wise? I think we have some marginal stuff on Wednesday, but anything beyond that?

There are a lot of discrepancies among the models for next week so it’s hard to be too confident about any solution, but the GFS operational and ensembles have up ticked in a potential system mid-late next week.

 

[Bama Ravens]

NWS has suffered a data outage issue this morning (Tuesday), so the SPC outlooks have not been updated.

 

[WesL]

NWS has suffered a data outage issue this morning (Tuesday), so the SPC outlooks have not been updated.

They seem to be having a lot of issues as of late. I know that during the last severe event the NWSChat service was randomly dropping out as well.

 

[warneagle]

Well better that it happened this week than last week, I guess. It is pretty bad that they have to encourage people to stay out of NWS Chat on big days. Their system really ought to be able to handle a higher level of traffic when something important is happening. I mean, come on, it's 2021, not 1997.