Severe Weather 2021

[Brice Wood]

Simple yes for now

Wow the 15% hatch covers parts of Tennessee, Kentucky, all of Louisiana, all of Alabama, all of Mississippi, and most of Arkansas, that’s a huge outlook cover

 

[Austin Dawg]

I'm sure this is a mistake but it looks like the Euro says we might have storms initiate here in my area before it fires up in the Mid South.



I cant get the hodo to upload, weird.

 

[Brice Wood]

I'm sure this is a mistake but it looks like the Euro says we might have storms initiate here in my area before it fires up in the Mid South.

View attachment 6830

I cant get the hodo to upload, weird.

Same I’ve been trying to upload a hodo on today’s severe weather thread

 

[Brice Wood]

Any idea when there will be a thread for this Wednesday?

If it’s significant enough

 

[fivepoint1]

Any idea when there will be a thread for this Wednesday?

If it’s significant enough

There is one on the general wether discussion page for March 17, 2021

 

[Brice Wood]

There is one on the general wether discussion page for March 17, 2021

Oops, I didnt even see, i was too focused on today’s thread

 

[tlcrawford90]

I am seeing TOR soundings on several models for this afternoon in the Birmingham area between 4 and 7pm. I am locked in on Wednesday just like everyone else, but I sure hope we haven't looked past today. All of our local guys are downplaying the tornado threat.

 

[Equus]

Got a strengthening line moving through here with thunder on the increase but luckily not showing any signs of trouble just yet... the day's still young though

 

[MattW]

Got a strengthening line moving through here with thunder on the increase but luckily not showing any signs of trouble just yet... the day's still young though

The storm just south of Oakman is showing the slightest hint of wanting to rotate.

 

[Equus]

Yeah just noticed that

 

[Equus]

Jefferson be on alert, this is actually continuing to tighten a bit. Could see a surprise here in a bit if that continues.

 

[Evan]

Jefferson be on alert, this is actually continuing to tighten a bit. Could see a surprise here in a bit if that continues.

Yeah I've been watching it. It was starting to get going a bit but on the latest scan it broadened back out. Hoping that's as close as we get.

 

[jules]

Wasn’t expecting to see this sort of radar presentation today!

 

[Equus]

Yeah luckily it's broadened out a lot, still could spin something up but marginal risk is still probably a good call given poor instability. Wind profile isn't half bad if we get a good sustained cell though.



2,000th post apparently, wooo

 

[TCLwx]

Tornado Warning for Marengo Co. AL until 0415. “Radar indicated rotation.”

 

[CheeselandSkies]

It falls between the two event threads, but there's been a hail-driven Enhanced upgrade for portions of the Plains. A fairly large 5% tornado zone is outlooked as well, but SPC's discussion sounds like they expect mainly nocturnal storms. It does extend eastward across portions of the Lower Mississippi Valley, which could be the initial round that continues into Wednesday.

 

[Bama Ravens]

It falls between the two event threads, but there's been a hail-driven Enhanced upgrade for portions of the Plains. A fairly large 5% tornado zone is outlooked as well, but SPC's discussion sounds like they expect mainly nocturnal storms. It does extend eastward across portions of the Lower Mississippi Valley, which could be the initial round that continues into Wednesday.

 

[Brice]

Soooo, what's next after this system moves by

 

[Equus]

GFS shows a highly progressive pattern with several troughs and shortwaves only a few days apart for the rest of March, but I'd assume moisture return is going to be the limiting factor. Long range shows some interesting systems but nothing is really set in stone until it gets much closer.

Ok now it's sleep time, can't resist tracking stuff long after I should

 

[tennessee storm chaser]

GFS shows a highly progressive pattern with several troughs and shortwaves only a few days apart for the rest of March, but I'd assume moisture return is going to be the limiting factor. Long range shows some interesting systems but nothing is really set in stone until it gets much closer.

Ok now it's sleep time, can't resist tracking stuff long after I should

Agree. . Pattern hold lots of potential for sure... going be a active spring