New Day 1 with an enhanced risk area added for North Alabama/South Tenn
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- Messages
- 1,336
- Location
- Cullman, AL
There's a 10% hatched tornado risk in the enhanced area as well.
X
Xenesthis
Guest
Well I am in the enhanced... Should be interesting to watch
Weatherphreak
Member
- Messages
- 363
- Location
- Huntsville
That's a very deliberate enhanced as small as that area is. Huntsville to Columbia, TN and East to Bridgeport and West to Corinth.
X
Xenesthis
Guest
Why do you say it’s deliberate?
Weatherphreak
Member
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- 363
- Location
- Huntsville
Just seems small. No other reason. Maybe deliberate wasn't the best phrasing.
GA Stormchaser
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- 160
- Location
- Flowery Branch, GA
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Kory
Member
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- 4,928
- Location
- Tuscaloosa, Alabama
Looks like we’ll get initiation within a couple hours across West TN and northern MS. Storm motion looks to be due East with maybe even an ESE component in stronger storms.
- Messages
- 1,336
- Location
- Cullman, AL
Storms are already starting to fire in Mississippi.
Looks like a Tornado Watch is coming soon:
Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 228
Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center.
www.spc.noaa.gov
Kory
Member
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- 4,928
- Location
- Tuscaloosa, Alabama
Gonna need a little more low level shear before things get going.
warneagle
Member
Watch is up. 70/40.
Equus
Member
One county away from me ah well. Always interesting to be that close to a "couple of intense tornadoes possible" watch. Eyes glued to the radar for the rest of the evening.
cheestaysfly
Member
- Messages
- 121
- Location
- Florence, Alabama
Do we think this is going to get very wild? I'm right in the middle of the enhanced risk area...as usual.
Kory
Member
- Messages
- 4,928
- Location
- Tuscaloosa, Alabama
If that Tupelo cluster can organize that might be the first storm to go.
I'm right there with you in Florence. Will certainly be monitoring storms back to our SW in MS.
Weatherphreak
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- 363
- Location
- Huntsville
It looks better and better every scan. Wonder if that storm to the south will end up choking off the northern one and taking over.
X
Xenesthis
Guest
Here is the RAP and HRRR... I just dont see this honestly.. I call Forecasted Convective Amplification Deficiency for the most part... we may get a storm or two that might perform
I will post the screen shots when it lets me... says error
I will post the screen shots when it lets me... says error
Bama Ravens
Member
- Messages
- 1,283
The storm SE of Fulton, MS has a nice looking hook-like shape. The rotation in velocity is weak, though.