keithGA
Member
Oof.
I seriously hope that the UKMET is incorrect about the intensity of the low
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I seriously hope that the UKMET is incorrect about the intensity of the low
If it's there at all. A lot of the higher resolution models that are starting to get within range are beginning to say "naw bruh"...One question for me, and maybe it is because of last week's event, I am wondering ifnthe most will back build a bit longer over north Alabama. Upper ridging is weak and that llj really pumping in the low level moisture
I can't recall seeing a region that large this far out on that, ever.SREF gives a 70% chance that the STP exceeds 5 in east MS and west AL. The mean location of STP of 5+ on the SREF stretches from south MS/AL up into the Ohio Valley.
Thinking west tennessee going get another slop fest ? See models still differ some. May have to drive further south to catch best cells .If it's there at all. A lot of the higher resolution models that are starting to get within range are beginning to say "naw bruh"...
A lot of guidance, including the GFS, is focusing the morning and midday mess to the north of the AL state line.
Seeing some rumblings from WXtwitter (not from the weenies, but people that I see as more respected) that this could be another high risk. Pretty crazy we could potentially get 2 high risks in just over a week.
Yes, although it only goes 48 hrs, you can get a very good idea as to what kind of afternoon is in store.HRRR coming in looking flat out ugly for Thursday afternoon. Capped warm sector, no widespread convection, 60-65kt LLJ by late morning/midday, and instability that looks notably higher than last week.