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  • Current Tropical Systems
    Melissa

Hurricane Melissa

Central Ohio Wx said:
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Source plz?
 
lake.effect said:
Side note, iCyclone aka Josh Morgermann was holed up in a small town called Crawford on the southeast coast. The northeast eyewall went directly over that location at peak strength.

He hasn’t tweeted since 10am. He survived Dorian and knows what he’s doing, but it’s still a bit unnerving. He’s probably out helping with rescues or immediate relief efforts right now. If he made it through he will have the most violent hurricane footage of all time, 210+ mph gusts on camera for an hour. Pure terror
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It would be hard to top his footage from Haiyan but if there was a storm to do it, this might be the one.
 
akt1985 said:
I’m reading from various news outlets that the death toll from Melissa stands at seven. However, some of the deaths were in Haiti and the Dominican Republic.
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Here is one source. Like I said, this is from news sites both internationally and in the United States.

www.timesnownews.com

Hurricane Melissa Live Tracker: Death Toll Rises to 7, Including 3 in Jamaica, as Storm Batters Caribbean

Hurricane Melissa Tracker Live Updates: Three Dead In Jamaica As Most Powerful Storm Of The Year Set To Make Landfall, US News, Times Now
www.timesnownews.com www.timesnownews.com
 
Y'know, when Humberto became a MH and became the first season since 1935 to have its first two hurricanes be major hurricanes, I kinda thought of the Labor Day Hurricane, and then quickly filed it under "1935 Things 2025 WON'T Copy".

This has been your episode of "Man, Lake Martin EF4's Predictions Suck!"

On a more somber note, my bold prediction is that we end up seeing a five digit death toll when all is said and done.
 
It’s truly unfortunate to see that all those predictions we were having about this storm being “the storm” verified this season only because of the untapped Caribbean. And we weren’t only right about that, it ended up becoming something unbelievably violent, historic, and terrifying. I really, truly believed something would throw a wrench into this as far as worst-case scenarios go, but no - I suppose the only silver lining was the fact that Kingston was largely spared, but it was at the cost of the slightly more rural communities, where a lot of people still lived.

Some of the videos I’m seeing are truly awful. The damage is going to be extreme from this, no doubt. I’m scared to see the damage from higher in the mountains, where we had confirmed dropsonde data supporting gusts exceeding 220 MPH.
 
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slenker said:
It’s truly unfortunate to see that all those predictions we were having about this storm being “the storm” this season was because of the untapped Caribbean. And we weren’t only right about that, it ended up becoming something unbelievably violent, historic, and terrifying. I really, truly believed something would throw a wrench into this as far as worst-case scenarios go, but no - I suppose the only silver lining was the fact that Kingston was largely spared, but it was at the cost of the slightly more rural communities, where a lot of people still lived.

Some of the videos I’m seeing are truly awful. The damage is going to be extreme from this, no doubt. I’m scared to see the damage from higher in the mountains, where we had confirmed dropsonde data supporting gusts exceeding 220 MPH.
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That's what a storm stumbling upon warm waters that have been cooking for an entire season unmolested normally does.

As I stated earlier, if this was a September storm, or possibly even earlier in October, you would be seeing the Atlantic's first official 870s Club member.
 
slenker said:
It’s truly unfortunate to see that all those predictions we were having about this storm being “the storm” verify this season was because of the untapped Caribbean. And we weren’t only right about that, it ended up becoming something unbelievably violent, historic, and terrifying. I really, truly believed something would throw a wrench into this as far as worst-case scenarios go, but no - I suppose the only silver lining was the fact that Kingston was largely spared, but it was at the cost of the slightly more rural communities, where a lot of people still lived.

Some of the videos I’m seeing are truly awful. The damage is going to be extreme from this, no doubt. I’m scared to see the damage from higher in the mountains, where we had confirmed dropsonde data supporting gusts exceeding 220 MPH.
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Never before have I seen a storm refuse to undergo EWRC so many times. It had its original core last mostly unchecked for over 2.5 days.
 
slenker said:
It’s truly unfortunate to see that all those predictions we were having about this storm being “the storm” verify this season was because of the untapped Caribbean. And we weren’t only right about that, it ended up becoming something unbelievably violent, historic, and terrifying. I really, truly believed something would throw a wrench into this as far as worst-case scenarios go, but no - I suppose the only silver lining was the fact that Kingston was largely spared, but it was at the cost of the slightly more rural communities, where a lot of people still lived.

Some of the videos I’m seeing are truly awful. The damage is going to be extreme from this, no doubt. I’m scared to see the damage from higher in the mountains, where we had confirmed dropsonde data supporting gusts exceeding 220 MPH.
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I think that's one of the reasons I'd wager that 4/27 is a good analog here. There were a lot of things that could've hampered her, and she definitely remained disorganized for a few days after being classified as a TS, but once she got going she just didn't stop. It's a storm that really made us all stop and ask "can it really do that?" and answered "yes" every time.
 
Central Ohio Wx said:
Livestream screenshots that are circulating around; right now we aren’t going to be getting high-quality and good-sourced damage photos for a few days. Think of it being like the Texas floods.
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Please still source where you found them and what streams they are from. Photos "being passed around" makes it hard to trust them, and if they are legit, it means the people responsible for them aren't getting credit.
 
notsoencrypted said:
Please still source where you found them and what streams they are from. Photos "being passed around" makes it hard to trust them, and if they are legit, it means the people responsible for them aren't getting credit.
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Saved them a few hours ago; I have no idea where they came from, just that they were shared during a discussion we were having. I do have a similar damage video that I do have a source for:
https://x.com/JamaicaConstab/status/1983311743616221615

Oh, seriously? I don’t know why it isn’t embedding.
 
Taking this from someone else, but it’s absolutely true so I’ll post it here:

“I just want to preface. Starting tomorrow at sunrise a lot is going to come out in terms of damage. Some will be fake but a huge portion of it likely will be real. This is again an unprecedented humanitarian crisis unfolding. Some things absolutely will be graphic. If you’re going to be online for the next 48 hours please tread with caution.”
 
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