Severe WX May 2019 Plains Severe Event

[NorthGaWeather]

Here is the full sounding from Arcadia. Another interesting analog date popped on this one. 00z April 4th, 1974 Montgomery, AL. Not that it means anything. Just an incredibly volatile environment if anything can pop.

 

[TornadoFan]

Already severe warned.

 

[warneagle]

Couple of other storms popping nearby too.

Looks like the southern one might overtake the original one.

 

[Evan]

Arcadia is around 25 miles North of Norman.

Full sounding shows April 4th 1974 Montgomery as an analog which is interesting.

 

[warneagle]

PDS watch is out. Probs are 80/80.

 

[Evan]

Be interesting to see if over the next 30 minutes to an hour if the cells stay adequately spaced like the HRRR had originally indicated. If they do...doesn't bode well.

 

[TornadoFan]

Looks like a PDS watch was just issued for the OKC area.

 

[NorthGaWeather]

Wow, PDS!

 

[TornadoFan]

Oklahoma just doing Oklahoma things.

 

[xJownage]

With the probs on that watch, I think the SPC has gotten really confident in the OKC area and NE OK being in serious danger. Anybody else see a possible high risk coming out at 2000Z?

 

[Taylor Campbell]

There appears to be some good updraft, and downdraft spacing on these early storms.

 

[TornadoFan]

80/80 probs on that PDS watch.

 

[NorthGaWeather]

Visible shows the CU field becoming more agitated over NW TX, along that weak convergence boundary. Some early mid level returns showing up on KFDR, so maybe some additional development will occur to the Southwest of the first cells.

 

[TornadoFan]

First two cells appear to have merged.

 

[Equus]

An 80/80 PDS watch in an area outline for gen tstm yesterday morning. Wow.

 

[NorthGaWeather]

Several updrafts trying to go up along and East of I-35 from Byars, OK to Ardmore, OK.

 

[Taylor Campbell]

Visible shows the CU field becoming more agitated over NW TX, along that weak convergence boundary. Some early mid level returns showing up on KFDR, so maybe some additional development will occur to the Southwest of the first cells.

An 80/80 PDS watch in an area outline for gen tstm yesterday morning. Wow.

There’s currently a PDS tornado watch out for a general risk area lol.

 

[warneagle]

Staying with a moderate risk at 2000z.

 

[warneagle]

Dying of laughter

 

[xJownage]

Dying of laughter

I don't think anybody expected the cap to break that far south, but here we are.