Hurricane Isaias

[akt1985]

Alabama Weather Network is now live with wall to wall coverage through the duration of Isaias across the state.

 

[wx_guy]

I took a break for lunch. I come back and yuck! The Hurricane Hunter Recon are finding 130-140 knot winds at flight level, but so far, I'm not sure they've been able to find surface winds corresponding to it. But if they can, an upgrade to Category 4 might happen. Not sure.

 

[trulycrabby]

This was in Brushy Pond (SW Cullman County). Pretty incredible.
View attachment 55246

Beautiful. I would bet it will be interesting tomorrow too, "red sky at morning..."

 

[wx_guy]

Recon just had pressure recording of 951...

 

[Mike S]

Hello, Isaias

Edit: Posted that on my phone. Didn't realize how big that graphic would be on a computer!

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Recon just had pressure recording of 951...

Knocking on the door of a low end cat 4 now

 

[wx_guy]

Yeah, 3 separate planes/passes now have recorded 130+ knot flight level wind, including a 951 mb reading. Feeling like the evidence is mounting for this to get upgraded to 135 mph Cat 4 or such. I guess we'll see.

 

[wx_guy]

Well, the 2 PM CDT update keeps it at 120, I assume they're waiting to find a dropsonde that shows surface winds at Cat 4.

 

[WeathermanLeprechaun]

So, you're seriously telling me this has went major despite the insane shear it's dealing with? Goodness

 

[akt1985]

For another local weather streaming service, there is also Panhandle Weather.

 

[WeathermanLeprechaun]

wx_guy is back, that's nice!

There is a nasty waterspout off shore right now.

I know yesterday, I said that I didn't think that tonight would be the main tor threat but with admittedly stronger LL response as a result of surprise over performing intensity, there are problems with the outer bands svr wx wise.

 

[Blountwolf]

wx_guy is back, that's nice!

There is a nasty waterspout off shore right now.

I know yesterday, I said that I didn't think that tonight would be the main tor threat but with admittedly stronger LL response as a result of surprise over performing intensity, there are problems with the outer bands svr wx wise.

Spicy storms incoming, big bend area.

 

[wx_guy]

220
URNT12 KNHC 091917
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL092026
A. 09/18:42:40Z
B. 28.70 deg N 087.11 deg W
C. 700 mb 2744 m
D. EXTRAP 958 mb
E. NA
F. OPEN E
G. C26
H. NA
I. NA
J. 166 deg 128 kt
K. 068 deg 16 nm 18:37:00Z
L. NA
M. NA
N. 261 deg 115 kt
O. 194 deg 11 nm 18:46:00Z
P. 12 C / 3054 m
Q. 22 C / 3048 m
R. 8 C / NA
S. 1234 / 7
T. 0.02 / 1 nm
U. AF301 1409A ISAIAS OB 12
MAX FL WIND 136 KT 075 / 23 NM 17:33:30Z
SLP EXTRAP FROM 700 MB
WHITE EGRET APPROX 9,400 FEET PASSED BENEATH ACFT HEADING EASTBOUND INSIDE EYE.
;



This Vortex Data Message is more support of a possible Cat 4

 

[akt1985]

James Spann warned of strong winds on the western side of Isaias, not just to the east of the center.

 

[sak]

the precip is really collapsing on the west side of the storm.

i suspect mobile county gets less than 1" of rain from 3pm to the end of the event.

also, with the storm east of where it was projected a day or two ago, this dramatically reduces the coastal flooding threat along the alabama gulf coast.

navarre over to destin looks to take the brunt of it.

 

[Blountwolf]

the precip is really collapsing on the west side of the storm.

i suspect mobile county gets less than 1" of rain from 3pm to the end of the event.

also, with the storm east of where it was projected a day or two ago, this dramatically reduces the coastal flooding threat along the alabama gulf coast.

navarre over to destin looks to take the brunt of it.

I'd leave open the possibility that was just a pulse. No shortage of moisture blowing up to the west again.

COD NEXLAB: Satellite and Radar

Check out COD Meteorology's Satellite and Radar Data

weather.cod.edu

 

[StormStalker]

Lot of lightning on the sw eye wall too.

 

[Blountwolf]

As I said last night - I wish it didn't look this good. Better to be weakening as it arrives than strengthening though. Fingers crossed.

 

[akt1985]

There might be a slight bend back to the northwest with the center track of Isaias.

 

[akt1985]

Some slight weakening, down to 115 MPH with the 4 PM advisory and 959 MB.