Hurricane Ian

[warneagle]

Yikes, already at "red/closed" on the Waffle House Index. Doesn't bode well.

 

[Blountwolf]

MIMIC of the passage over Cuba and catches the EWRC at the end.

MIMIC

 

[Blountwolf]

Here comes the new eye, I think

Radar would agree with you.

COD-NEXLAB : Dual-Pol Radar for BYX

Dual-Pol NEXRAD Data for provided by College of DuPage Meteorology (NEXLAB)

weather.cod.edu

 

[TornadoFan]

That's not good. :/

 

[gangstonc]

Looks like the EWRC is complete. It has plenty of time to strengthen. I can see the larger eye causing big problems with surge too.

 

[Taylor Campbell]

The tornado threat looks pretty serious with this system. I’d say more so than a slight risk.

 

[TornadoFan]

Pressure is still rising ever so slightly

 

[Jacob]

Eye is still a little ragged on satellite, but convection is getting deeper and in the last hour the new eyewall has really started to come together on radar. I don't have a good feeling about what he's going to do the next 6-18 hours.

 

[TornadoFan]

NOAA24 has been cancelled due to too much lightning in the storm.

 

[TornadoFan]

Ian is now a category 4.

 

[Sawmaster]

Well at least people are paying attention and evacuating. A friend was on vacation in FL and started back to SC yesterday. Last night early he texted me that northbound traffic was clogged and slow. Local forecasting here thinks that after crossing FL Ian is going to hit the Charleston-Savannah area then come across the upstate, so I'm planning on lots of rain starting Friday.

Phil

 

[Taylor Campbell]

Ian is 155mph sustained. Crawling.

 

[Blountwolf]

Ugh. I was afraid I was going to wake up to this. This is going to be a really hard hit.

 

[Taylor Campbell]

 

[Blountwolf]

 

[Blountwolf]

Recon has found 933mb. Hoping that's bad data, but expecting it isn't. This is going to be historically bad.

 

[Taylor Campbell]

 

[bjdeming]

The center is going into flat wetlands. The brown-water effect is going to make a difference further down the road, too.

 

[Blountwolf]

The center is going into flat wetlands. The brown-water effect is going to make a difference further down the road, too.

I have that same fear. The predictions of how quickly this is going to weaken may be radically off - there's a lot of moisture for the storm already streaming in from the Atlantic side, and like you said - this is wetlands. With a core this organized and this big, it will insulate itself a lot.

 

[Blountwolf]