Archive Former Major Hurricane Irma

[raine1212]

I know there will be devastation in FL, but it seems like Ga is forgotten especially in this area. Am I wrong, if so please correct me.

 

[Tyler Penland]

She's having big troubles right now with dry air. Hurricane Hunters only finding winds to 140MPH and she's awfully close to making landfall.

You know it's a big storm when you stick the word "only" in front of 140MPH.

 

[raine1212]

I am still hoping we only see a tiny bit of this, this area is not prepared, I live here, I have seen it. It was a disaster with the ice storm and then the red tape because government in this area did not know what they were doing

 

[raine1212]

She's having big troubles right now. Hurricane Hunters only finding winds to 140MPH and she's awfully close to making landfall.

Is she doing another eyewall replacement cycle

 

[MikeP]

Feeling the effects of Cuba.....

 

[MikeP]

Just saw where the 'new' forecast calls for landfall as a cat5 on CNN?? Is NHC going with the GFS?

 

[Tyler Penland]

Last couple sat images she seems to be overcoming the dry air. Seeing deep reds all around the center again which she had lost in spectacular fashion earlier.

 

[TuckerTerry]

Just saw where the 'new' forecast calls for landfall as a cat5 on CNN?? Is NHC going with the GFS?

Yes, they all seem to be going with that. I've been in and out shopping and prepping, so haven't seen any model runs today. Only what the TV is telling me.

 

[MikeP]

Flight level winds of 170 @ 10k feet NW quadrant. 150-155 at the surface.

 

[Tyler Penland]

Flight level winds of 170 @ 10k feet NW quadrant. 150-155 at the surface.

She's chewed up that dry air pretty good now.

 

[MikeP]

COC getting really close to Cuba now. Can't tell if it is undergoing a ERC as well or just feeling the the effects of land a bit......

 

[barcncpt44]

NWS Key West sent out a very strongly worded tweet.

 

[MikeP]

Cuba might be the saving grace here???????

 

[bingcrosbyb]

Getting very very close to Cuban landfall.

 

[SouthernStorms]

Hopefully Cuba chews her up a bit.

Im a bit concerned with all the westward movements. Makes you want to ask when is it going to stop?

They say its not goin intp the gulf but they arecissuing storm surge watches for Tampa.....

 

[MikeP]

Curious as to SST's in the Florida straits. If it can bounce off Cuba, we might see some rapid intensification....

 

[Jacob]

Looks like the shift continues west on some of the early 00z models. Will be a couple hours until the global models start coming in.

My gut says this thing just skirts the west coast of Florida and makes landfall somewhere around east of Apalachicola, perhaps due south of Tallahassee.

 

[TuckerTerry]

Looks like the shift continues west on some of the early 00z models. Will be a couple hours until the global models start coming in.

My gut says this thing just skirts the west coast of Florida and makes landfall somewhere around east of Apalachicola, perhaps due south of Tallahassee.

And does what? North or turn? I've been fretting this scenario.

 

[MikeP]

COC coming ashore in Cuba.....

 

[barcncpt44]

And does what? North or turn? I've been fretting this scenario.

That would make the impacts in Alabama MUCH stronger. Higher winds and rain, especially if it makes the NW jog like on the current track.