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Severe WX April 29-May 2nd, 2022 Severe Weather Threat

Not quite sure what's hampering these cells in the low levels but they are certainly struggling
 
Equus said:
Not quite sure what's hampering these cells in the low levels but they are certainly struggling
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Yeah, there was a lot of talk about what an awesome environment there was gonna be for strong tornadoes today, but the storms certainly didn't behave like it (except the far eastern OK one well removed from where the main risk was thought to be).

*Now watch some bizarre EF2-3 QLCS spinup occur over Moore like in March of 2015.
 
Looking less and less impressive on radar, chasers reporting less rotation as well apparently; certainly a little unusual, it had a good environment and was all out by itself but just can't keep it going
 
Chasers reporting it is looking a little better, updraft may be strengthening again a bit

Nasty bow echo screaming across the MDT (which is a 45% for wind across the eastern two thirds) probably going to be a widespread wind event with isolated tornadoes up that way
 
CheeselandSkies said:
Yeah, there was a lot of talk about what an awesome environment there was gonna be for strong tornadoes today, but the storms certainly didn't behave like it (except the far eastern OK one well removed from where the main risk was thought to be).

*Now watch some bizarre EF2-3 QLCS spinup occur over Moore like in March of 2015.
Click to expand...
Figures... Big Plains day turns into a nothingburger (last Friday an exception), while messy/marginal setups over the OH Valley/Dixie region produce significant or even historic episodes. (Mayfield a classic example)
 
Wrapping up again, warm inflow with wall cloud and rapidly rising scud, we'll see

And weakening again, this cell is very undecided (and running out of time)
 
This is how central Oklahoma events typically play out now. I have to go all the way back to 5/6/2015 to find a major OKC metro tornado day.

There’s also 4/22/2020 and 5/9/2016, but I consider those to be more southern OK events.
 
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buckeye05 said:
This is how central Oklahoma events typically play out now. I have to go all the way back to 5/6/2015 to find a major OKC metro tornado day.
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Central OK/metro wasn't even supposed to be the greatest threat area today...I was really expecting one of those cells around Fairview/Watonga to put down at least one moderately long-lived, fully condensed tornado before evolving into the squall line...nope.
 
CheeselandSkies said:
Yeah, there was a lot of talk about what an awesome environment there was gonna be for strong tornadoes today, but the storms certainly didn't behave like it (except the far eastern OK one well removed from where the main risk was thought to be).

*Now watch some bizarre EF2-3 QLCS spinup occur over Moore like in March of 2015.
Click to expand...

I didn't do it.
 

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Nearly 70mph winds just 300-400 feet off the ground in Moore, probably some straight line wind damage in town
 
Vicious looking comma head structure heading toward Sapulpa, although rotation has broadened a bit for the time being. Remarkably our discrete cell is still alive near Etowah and hasn't been swallowed by the southern part of the complex yet, although it still seems in no hurry to produce a significant tornado. Its tornado warning polygon is entirely within the severe thunderstorm warning associated with the complex.
 

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