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Severe WX April 29-May 2nd, 2022 Severe Weather Threat

It's gonna time it just right and start really producing once it senses the OKC suburbs isn't it, every time
 
I'm seeing multiple areas of rotation within that OKC area supercell currently. Could get ugly if it consolidates or one rotation becomes dominant.
 
Still seeing multiple areas of circulation. It's probably not going to really take off until one becomes dominant. Now it looks like the southern meso is trying to tighten again. They keep going back and forth.
 
Definitely waiting on it to consolidate, the sooner it does so the better the chance it goes south of Norman proper
 
They're gonna have to decide what kind of warning comes out for Blanchard etc in a minute here
 
Just a monster of a supercell, taking its time to ramp up in the low levels though; shear is slightly weaker the further south we go but there should still be sufficient low level helicity to get it going
 
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