Severe WX April 1-2 (overnight) Severe Weather Event

Yeah, backing the SPC and what multiple users here have said.

Is it possible for strong to violent tornadoes to come out of a 10% hatch? Absolutely. Has it happened before? I’m sure it has. At the same time, does that mean it’s actually likely? Not necessarily, but we shall see.
 
The only reasons why this is enhanced is because of lower storm coverage and uncertainty in storm initiation/formation. The parameter space will be there and any tornado will definitely have the potential to be strong or maybe even violent.
 
In regards to tomorrow and Thursday, my WRF-ARW model is nearing the end of a run in the next 30 minutes or so. I'll post the results when it's done. But right now, all eyes on Oklahoma!
 
FWIW. Latest hrrr for tomorrow has moved super cells in western half tn bout 50 miles further east more nasvhvilke getting more involved now
I think it will be more than that honestly. The parameters are so strong and there isn’t a strong cap even further east. They support EF-3+ tornadoes for a large section of middle TN
 
Just for fun, I asked Microsoft Copilot if an EF5 tornado has ever come out of an ENH risk area, and it responded saying that the 2013 Moore tornado did.

Well, I know off the top of my head that’s not true, because the ENH risk category didn’t even exist until late 2014.

Just a fair warning to everyone here, all the wannabe forecasters and other weather enthusiasts out there: generative AI is NOT a reliable source. Please do not use it in place of actual research.
 
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