2025 Global Tropical Cyclone Season Discussion

[Atlantic]

Tropical Depression 26W was given the international name of Bualoi earlier today and it also received the Philippine name Opong (which is the replacement name of Odette in the Philippines after Super Typhoon Rai carried the name Odette in 2021 and became a destructive typhoon, warranting its retirement in the spring of 2022)

 

[Atlantic]

Bualoi is steadily improving in organization as it approaches the Philippines. Neoguri and Ragasa are on their way out and Narda in the Eastern Pacific is mostly holding steady right now with brief expected weakening back to a Category 1 from its current Category 2 due to wind shear. It will likely reintensify into a Category 2 before turning poleward and crossing into cold waters and dissapting.

 

[Atlantic]

From S2K:

We have Tropical Storm Humberto now.

 

[Atlantic]

It’s not that often that an Atlantic tropical cyclone has a cone of uncertainty including some form of land from Africa, especially Morocco.
Gabrielle has a cone of uncertainty as such right now:

 

[Atlantic]

The famous banner from the NHC has appeared:

 

[Atlantic]

Almost all of the hurricane-regional models like HAFS-A and B are trying to make both Humberto and Invest 94L into hurricanes and the most recent run time has gone on to having like 95% of all of the hurricane models making 94L a MH.

On a related note, the NHC now expects Humberto to become a 100-kt (115 mph) major hurricane near the end of the five day forecast period.

 

[Atlantic]

Well, well… the 06Z intensity of 55 kts (65 mph) on Humberto was overridden and changed to 65 kts (75 mph), so say hello to another Hurricane Humberto and the sixth consecutive iteration of Humberto to become a hurricane in a row since its Category 2 debut in 1995.

 

[Atlantic]

Hurricane Humberto is trying to rotate duel hot towers around where its eye will appear in the future.

To note, no season in the 21st century so far has had its first three hurricanes all become major hurricanes, and the last season to have all of its first 3 hurricanes all become major hurricanes was this season below:

1935 was the year of the strongest landfalling hurricane ever recorded on U.S. soil, the 1935 Labor Day Hurricane.

 

[Atlantic]

Hurricane Humberto is trying to rotate duel hot towers around where its eye will appear in the future.

To note, no season in the 21st century so far has had its first three hurricanes all become major hurricanes, and the last season to have all of its first 3 hurricanes all become major hurricanes was this season below:

1935 was the year of the strongest landfalling hurricane ever recorded on U.S. soil, the 1935 Labor Day Hurricane.

Well Humberto became a major hurricane, which means that 2025 is 3 for 3 for the first time in 90 years.

 

[Atlantic]

Bualoi in the Western Pacific has become the 11th typhoon of the season with a current intensity of 65 kts (75 mph). The JTWC expects Bualoi to intensify to 85 kts (100 mph) over the warm waters of the South China Sea and into the Gulf of Tonkin before moving inland and dissipating.