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2025 Global Tropical Cyclone Season Discussion

Welp, we didn’t get duel Category 5 Super Typhoons, but we do have Super Typhoon Ragasa with maximum sustained winds of 140 kts (160 mph) and Ragasa is a Category 5-equivalent Super Typhoon.

Neoguri remains at 125 kts (145 mph), just 5 kts shy of STY status.
 
Atlantic said:
Welp, we didn’t get duel Category 5 Super Typhoons, but we do have Super Typhoon Ragasa with maximum sustained winds of 140 kts (160 mph) and Ragasa is a Category 5-equivalent Super Typhoon.

Neoguri remains at 125 kts (145 mph), just 5 kts shy of STY status.
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Which means that Ragasa has become the third Category 5-equivalent TC to have formed around the globe after Erin from the Atlantic in August (140 kts/160 mph) and Errol from the Australian Region in April (140 kts/160 mph).

Ragasa is forecast by the JTWC to intensify just a little more to a peak of 145 kts (165 mph), which if it does so, would make Ragasa the strongest tropical cyclone of 2025 globally to date.
 
Yeah, Gabrielle is probably a hurricane now based off of recon…
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The Eastern Pacific continues its active streak with the formation of Tropical Storm Narda, which has long-tracking potential in the coming week or so.
 
 
lake.effect said:
At +48 hours, HWRF and HAFS-A both have Ragusa landfalling basically right on top of Hong Kong as a 910-ish monster.

Given the forecast window, that is terrifying. If that were to come to fruition we'd be dealing with a major disaster potentially on the level of Katrina.
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I guess in terms of social vulnerability Hong Kong is probably better off than New Orleans but it's also a lot more populated so yeah that has catastrophic potential.
 
warneagle said:
I guess in terms of social vulnerability Hong Kong is probably better off than New Orleans but it's also a lot more populated so yeah that has catastrophic potential.
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What a finely-worded euphemism lol

It wouldn't be apples to apples with katrina, but what's concerning about the Hong Kong scenario is the population density (8 million people experiencing a huge impact, global trade and finance hub).

Plus, it's massive skyscrapers will experience much higher wind impact than a typical landfalling cane. HK has several buildings over 1000 feet high and hundreds over 600 feet high. These buildings could experience cat 5 sustained winds at the higher levels for hours. Not sure what kind of impact that will have on those buildings. I assume HK has 1st world building codes, but even a well-built high rises might have trouble in those winds.
 
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