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2025 Global Tropical Cyclone Season Discussion

How about that:

Ragasa is now up to 115 kts (130 mph)
and
Neoguri is up to 120 kts (140 mph)

Both typhoons are now Category 4-equivalent. 10 kts to go for Neoguri and 15 kts to go for Ragasa for both to reach STY intensity.
 
Kds86z said:
Sty?
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Super Typhoon. JTWC’s unofficial category of typhoon that begins at 130 kts (150 mph) and has no end right now

(highest STY intensity reached is 170 kts (195 mph) by Haiyan 2013, Meranti 2016, Goni 2020 and Surigae 2021)
 
Atlantic said:
How about that:

Ragasa is now up to 115 kts (130 mph)
and
Neoguri is up to 120 kts (140 mph)

Both typhoons are now Category 4-equivalent. 10 kts to go for Neoguri and 15 kts to go for Ragasa for both to reach STY intensity.
Click to expand...
Two Cat 4s at once… incredible
IMG_7831.png
Neoguri and Ragasa
 
Here’s another spot the plane, just for fun because of how slow (good for the U.S. after the past several years) the Atlantic has been this year.

IMG_7832.png
 
Kds86z said:
Philippines in trouble @Atlantic ?
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Ragasa is forecast to go north of the Philippines, but I wouldn’t rule out impacts to the Northern Philippines.

Here is the current forecast map
IMG_7834.gif
 
New warning out on Neoguri, and the JTWC expects Neoguri to become a STY as well, with a forecast peak of 135 kts.

We are may witness a very rare occurrence as Neoguri is expected to be at 135 kts by 07Z tomorrow, and the previous forecast for Ragasa (which hasn’t updated yet) expects Ragasa to reach 130 kts by the same time.

There is a small chance, abit very small we could witness an extremely rare occurrence of duel Category 5s by tomorrow is all environmental conditions are still in favor of these storms.

IMG_7836.jpeg
@kds89z
 
Ragasa’s new cone is out, and the JTWC is now forecasting a Category 5 Super Typhoon with 160 mph winds.

IMG_7838.jpeg

So by 2 pm EST tomorrow Ragasa is expected to be at 160 mph

And at that same time tomorrow Neoguri is expected to be at 155 mph.

So very close, and these two storms have overachieved so far.
 
Sunrise over the beast that is Typhoon Neoguri:
IMG_7840.jpeg
 
Atlantic said:
Sunrise over the beast that is Typhoon Neoguri:
View attachment 46592
Click to expand...
Not gonna lie. This photo I cropped from Zoom Earth looks like something Wikipedia could use. In fact, if someone here is on Wikipedia, they can use this and cite the satellite that Zoom Earth used for the WPAC.
 
The last simultaneous Category 5 Super typhoons was 1997 with Joan and Ivan. If Neoguri and Ragasa both become a category 5 Super Typhoon by tomorrow, it'll be the first time on record of two simultaneous category 5 Super typhoons in the month of September. The only other year that came so close to achieving this was 1961 with Super Typhoons Pamela (becoming a category 5 on Sep.11th) and Nancy (becoming a category 5 on Sep.12th).
 
JPWX said:
The last simultaneous Category 5 Super typhoons was 1997 with Joan and Ivan. If Neoguri and Ragasa both become a category 5 Super Typhoon by tomorrow, it'll be the first time on record of two simultaneous category 5 Super typhoons in the month of September. The only other year that came so close to achieving this was 1961 with Super Typhoons Pamela (becoming a category 5 on Sep.11th) and Nancy (becoming a category 5 on Sep.12th).
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And I was just talking about 1997 recently with the believing in signs from the universe thing as well as just recently talking to @Kds86z about the record tying number of super typhoons and record number of Category 5 super typhoons of 1997.
 
Atlantic said:
And I was just talking about 1997 recently with the believing in signs from the universe thing as well as just recently talking to @Kds86z about the record tying number of super typhoons and record number of Category 5 super typhoons of 1997.
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But like I said before, i don’t really pay attention much to universal stuff.
 
Kds86z said:
Oh yes 1997, those things you shared were nuts.
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And we could see duel Category 5 Super Typhoons tomorrow if everything lines up. That would be my first time seeing such a thing.
 
Ragasa and Neoguri are sharing the same Upper-Level Low (ULL)

IMG_7849.jpeg
 
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