2025 Global Tropical Cyclone Season Discussion

[Atlantic]

Interesting @Atlantic.

This is so odd that the southern hemisphere has seen this much activity over their winter though.

 

[Kds86z]

This is so odd that the southern hemisphere has seen this much activity over their winter though.

 

[Atlantic]

This is so odd that the southern hemisphere has seen this much activity over their winter though.

93S TCFA

Spoiler: Invest 93S TCFA from the JTWC

WTXS21 PGTW 100800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (INVEST 93S)//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 4.0S 94.2E TO 9.4S 92.5E WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE
OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE
AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 28 TO 33 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT
100600Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 4.3S
94.1E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
4.8S 94.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4.3S 94.1E, APPROXIMATELY 501 NM NORTH-
NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER (LLCC) WITH DEEP CONVECTION OBSCURING THE CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL
ANALYSIS INDICATES MARGINALLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH
MODERATE TO HIGH (20-25 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, OFFSET BY WARM (29-30
C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL
DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT, WITH 93S TRACKING SOUTH-
SOUTHWESTWARD WITH MARGINAL DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. GLOBAL
ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE ALSO IN AGREEMENT THAT THE CIRCULATION WILL TRACK
SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD, WITH ECMWF SHOWING SUPPORT FOR A HIGHER INTENSITY
OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED
AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR
998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
110800Z.
//
NNNN

 

[Atlantic]

Tropical Cyclone 03S continues to struggle against wind shear, while 93S remains a High Chance invest to the NE of it.

Kiko has finally degraded into a remnant low after 42 advisories and 10 days but recently designated Invest 93E is likely to pick up the slack here soon.

 

[Atlantic]

Tropical Cyclone 03S continues to struggle against wind shear, while 93S remains a High Chance invest to the NE of it.

Kiko has finally degraded into a remnant low after 42 advisories and 10 days but recently designated Invest 93E is likely to pick up the slack here soon.

03S has received the name Blossom. 93S remained a High chance invest.

 

[Kds86z]

03S has received the name Blossom. 93S remained a High chance invest.

Blossom…? @Atlantic oook then

 

[Kds86z]

03S has received the name Blossom. 93S remained a High chance invest.

Never heard that name lol. @Atlantic cyclones named after flower,?

 

[Atlantic]

Blossom…? @Atlantic oook then

That was the next name in the SWIO my friend.

And after Blossom, it is Chenge.

 

[Kds86z]

That was the next name in the SWIO my friend.
View attachment 46521
And after Blossom, it is Chenge.

Oh ok I see. Thanks @Atlantic

 

[Lake Martin EF4]

Blossom

Sadly, Bubbles and Buttercup are nowhere to be found, in the SWIO or otherwise.

 

[Atlantic]

It’a me, Mario! Letsa goo!

 

[Atlantic]

It’a me, Mario! Leta goo!
View attachment 46525

Mario’s speed run begins now, time to go!

 

[Kds86z]

Mario’s speed run begins now, time to go!

@Atlantic

 

[Kds86z]

It’a me, Mario! Leta goo!
View attachment 46525

That’s a name I can get on board with @Atlantic

 

[Atlantic]

That’s a name I can get on board with @Atlantic

“Mini Mario”

“Powered up to Tropical Storm Mario”


Hereee we goo!

 

[Kds86z]

“Mini Mario”
View attachment 46526
“Powered up to Tropical Storm Mario”
View attachment 46527

Hereee we goo!

Oh wow. Interesting wording @Atlantic with mini Mario.

 

[Kds86z]

It’a me, Mario! Leta goo!
View attachment 46525

@KakashiHatake2000

 

[KakashiHatake2000]

i wonder if tropical storm mario would have to bunk into a brick block or grab a mushroom to 1 up and grow out in the middle of no where of course

 

[Atlantic]

i wonder if tropical storm mario would have to bunk into a brick block or grab a mushroom to 1 up and grow out in the middle of no where of course

Mario will find the Power Up and thrive or he will not find it and he will hit a brick wall, literally.

 

[Atlantic]

How is this not an invest or even a TD by the JTWC yet?