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2017 Hurricane Season Discussion

0z Euro has a hurricane east of the Antilles next weekend...

this may be happening???

Edit, wow, a major hurricane for the Antilles at Day 9, King Euro has gone all in lol

If we still got this agreement tomorrow night I may be starting a thread for a wave still over Africa lol

23hao7m.png
 
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12z Euro lost it but the 0z GFS again has a major hurricane in the Caribbean that hits Hispanola and then heads for Florida
 
GFS still hanging onto something forming and tracking near/south/through the hurricane shredder aka DR/Haiti
 
GFS, GFS para, CMC, UKMET all have something from this now at 0z.... most models I've seen

Developing in 3-5 days, may see the NHC mention it soon.

GFS Is back onto a major hurricane by next weekend south of Puerto Rico

GFS/CMC both have it somewhere near Haiti or Eastern Cuba at 240 hours

GFS ends with a very large major hurricane just south of Brownsville at 360 hours(July 24th, my birthday lol)
 
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We have a little something to watch out in between 40-30W/10N. The 12z operational GFS, NOGAPS, and CMC both show it wrapping up tighter over the next 84hrs. I have seen some ensemble members of the GFS develop it into a strong storm. EURO does nothing.
 
Taylor Campbell said:
There's a good looking disturbance behind Invest 95L. This area should probably be labeled an invest as well.
Click to expand...

An area of disturbed weather has developed several hundred miles
west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Some development of
this system is possible over the next several days while it moves
slowly toward the west-northwest or northwest over the open Atlantic
Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Could we get Don and Emily this week?
 
Rainfall in western Sahel has generally been above-average over the past month - often a harbinger of an active Atlantic hurricane season

 
The last two runs of the EURO developed a tropical system in the eastern Atlantic. The CFSv2 model has hinted at something for the 1st week of August for a long time now. We are about to see an uptick in activity it seems.
 
Taylor Campbell said:
The last two runs of the EURO developed a tropical system in the eastern Atlantic. The CFSv2 model has hinted at something for the 1st week of August for a long time now. We are about to see an uptick in activity it seems.
Click to expand...

GFS ensembles are very busy.
 
There was a lull in the GFS picking up on a storm, but the 18z has picked it up again. It starts forming in relatively short order too. By Saturday night.
 
The tropical disturbance in the eastern Atlantic looks healthy. I would think the NHC classifies it as something soon.
 
Last two runs of the EURO has had a little something in the central Atlantic.

There's also slight hints on the CFSv2 model of something potentially in the Caribbean, and Gulf of Mexico long range.

12z

12zeurosfc.gif


00z

00zeurosfc.gif
 
There has been growing support on the GFS for this potential system, and the EURO has maintained the idea of some degree. Satellite imagery shows a pretty active area in the eastern Atlantic, and across Africa tonight.
 
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