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2017 Hurricane Season Discussion (1 Viewer)


Brent

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0z Euro has a hurricane east of the Antilles next weekend...

this may be happening???

Edit, wow, a major hurricane for the Antilles at Day 9, King Euro has gone all in lol

If we still got this agreement tomorrow night I may be starting a thread for a wave still over Africa lol

 
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Brent

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12z Euro lost it but the 0z GFS again has a major hurricane in the Caribbean that hits Hispanola and then heads for Florida
 

KoD

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GFS still hanging onto something forming and tracking near/south/through the hurricane shredder aka DR/Haiti
 

Brent

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GFS, GFS para, CMC, UKMET all have something from this now at 0z.... most models I've seen

Developing in 3-5 days, may see the NHC mention it soon.

GFS Is back onto a major hurricane by next weekend south of Puerto Rico

GFS/CMC both have it somewhere near Haiti or Eastern Cuba at 240 hours

GFS ends with a very large major hurricane just south of Brownsville at 360 hours(July 24th, my birthday lol)
 
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Taylor Campbell

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We have a little something to watch out in between 40-30W/10N. The 12z operational GFS, NOGAPS, and CMC both show it wrapping up tighter over the next 84hrs. I have seen some ensemble members of the GFS develop it into a strong storm. EURO does nothing.
 

Taylor Campbell

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There's a good looking disturbance behind Invest 95L. This area should probably be labeled an invest as well.
 

Brent

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There's a good looking disturbance behind Invest 95L. This area should probably be labeled an invest as well.
An area of disturbed weather has developed several hundred miles
west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Some development of
this system is possible over the next several days while it moves
slowly toward the west-northwest or northwest over the open Atlantic
Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Could we get Don and Emily this week?
 

Mike S

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Rainfall in western Sahel has generally been above-average over the past month - often a harbinger of an active Atlantic hurricane season

 

Taylor Campbell

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The last two runs of the EURO developed a tropical system in the eastern Atlantic. The CFSv2 model has hinted at something for the 1st week of August for a long time now. We are about to see an uptick in activity it seems.
 

Taylor Campbell

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The last two runs of the EURO developed a tropical system in the eastern Atlantic. The CFSv2 model has hinted at something for the 1st week of August for a long time now. We are about to see an uptick in activity it seems.
GFS ensembles are very busy.
 

Taylor Campbell

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There was a lull in the GFS picking up on a storm, but the 18z has picked it up again. It starts forming in relatively short order too. By Saturday night.
 

Taylor Campbell

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It sure does look active out there in the eastern Atlantic. 00z GFS forms something soon.
 

Taylor Campbell

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The tropical disturbance in the eastern Atlantic looks healthy. I would think the NHC classifies it as something soon.
 

Taylor Campbell

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The Caribbean was once upon a time the shredder, but that is forecast to change substantially.

 

Taylor Campbell

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Last two runs of the EURO has had a little something in the central Atlantic.

There's also slight hints on the CFSv2 model of something potentially in the Caribbean, and Gulf of Mexico long range.

12z



00z

 

Taylor Campbell

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There has been growing support on the GFS for this potential system, and the EURO has maintained the idea of some degree. Satellite imagery shows a pretty active area in the eastern Atlantic, and across Africa tonight.
 

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