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1/6-1/7 Winter Storm Potential Thread

This is going to be fun. Radar is looking good. Top CIPS analog for tomorrow is January 28th, 2014. Going to be plenty of moisture tomorrow I just hope a good bit of it falls as snow and less sleet. I think we can definitely get an inch or two here in Wedowee, AL.
 
Taylor Campbell said:
This is going to be fun. Radar is looking good. Top CIPS analog for tomorrow is January 28th, 2014. Going to be plenty of moisture tomorrow I just hope a good bit of it falls as snow and less sleet. I think we can definitely get an inch or two here in Wedowee, AL.
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Ok WHOA....so by analog....you mean comparison event? So is it saying our setup for tomorrow is comparable to Snowmegeddon? Dear Lord NOOOO!!!!
 
WesL said:
So without getting overly technical... the gizmo didn't connect with the sprocket.... so basically I manually approved a ton of accounts today without the email confirmation. If anyone else is having issues contact us over in the Special Notice forum.
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Thank YOU!! Great to have TW back. Again, THANK YOU for your efforts!!
 
The parallel NAM went right off the deep end at 6z.

rJbZjyW.png
 
Brax said:
The parallel NAM went right off the deep end at 6z.

rJbZjyW.png
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I was trying to figure out why they just went off the deep end.... It looks like the model is seeing the ZR as "frozen precip" and then applies the 10:1 ratio to it to get a snow total and just shows the result of 10:1 of the "frozen precip" as snow, regardless of rather or not it's actually snow.
 
Brax said:
I was trying to figure out why they just went off the deep end.... It looks like the model is seeing the ZR as "frozen precip" and then applies the 10:1 ratio to it to get a snow total and just shows the result of 10:1 of the "frozen precip" as snow, regardless of rather or not it's actually snow.
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Was about to say...that seems really high
 
Anybody want to draw a map showing possible beginning of frozen precip (any type) arrival? In 2014, it was sleeting when our kids arrived at school....when they finally decided to let them go at noon, there was ice on the sidewalk!! Just wondering what I might be up against today.
 
From BMX:

"Data from our morning balloon launch - HUGE warm nose aloft. All liquid precip expected & FREEZING RAIN main threat this morning. Changing to mix of sleet and freezing rain by midday, ending with light snow before all is said and done later tonight."

15936668_1245221028850644_9025530994499773986_o.png
 
Wow....this is gonna be a close call for many. I am worried about the warm nose though. Didn't think I would, but now it seems like a potential issue that will cut down total accumulation amounts.
 
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