1/6-1/7 Winter Storm Potential Thread

[Blountwolf]

Watching current Jackson and Columbus, MS radar with interest - clear air mode, but lots of moisture already evident.

 

[South AL Wx]

Watching current Jackson and Columbus, MS radar with interest - clear air mode, but lots of moisture already evident.

And we know that some of it at least is reaching the ground. Light rain reported in Jackson, MS and Monroe, LA.

 

[Blountwolf]

(FYI - light blue is 32 temp line, dark blue is 32 wet bulb. This is output from WeatherScope, from Mesonet. It's free)

 

[Brax]

Most recent graphics from FFC are.... Dare I say spot on?

 

[Blountwolf]

Filling in nicely. Pretty quickly, too...

 

[nautile]

Filling in nicely. Pretty quickly, too...

What's your favorite radar source?

 

[Pluviophile]

Just got The Call. Hoover Schools CLOSED on Friday.

 

[Blountwolf]

What's your favorite radar source?

I just put the nexrad level III output as an overlay on weatherscope, or use the NWS mosaics for a quick look. For winter weather, at least. The tornado chasing radar is a lot more than I need for this.

 

[MichelleH]

Cullman County schools are on the list of closings, FYI.

 

[Jack Watkins]

Gov. Robert Bentley (AL) has declared a state of emergency, effective 7am Friday.

http://www.al.com/news/index.ssf/2017/01/alabama_gov_robert_bentley_dec.html

 

[Brax]

I half expect Deal to tell state employees north of Macon to stay home tomorrow.

 

[Bama Ravens]

Bleh, so much for NW trend, at least on this run.

 

[Bama Ravens]

 

[Lori]

I wonder if this thing is going to keep forecasting more southern jogs....it needs to slow it's roll!!

 

[ARCC]

18z GFS is the just about the same. Don't let the 20-30 mile wobbles and slightly different amounts bother anyone too much. It didn't get any warmer and may be a hair colder which is the main thing. If it cuts precip by half at 0z be afraid.

That said BMX is sitting dead on with that run.

 

[Bama Ravens]

Gotta love being in that sliver of nothingness. It's like an abyss.

 

[Brax]

The fun thing is, even the NWS/FFC agrees that we're likely to see greater than 10:1 ratios from ATL north.

 

[Blountwolf]

Gotta love being in that sliver of nothingness. It's like an abyss.

I decided about a decade ago to stop looking at models within 24 hours of a winter weather event and to just watch what it does. I'm happier for it.

 

[Gawxnative]

LOL The Bullseye is (GA) is right over me...

 

[ARCC]

Looking at total QPF if surface temps are off a few degrees or precip spreads further north it would get hairy quickly. It wouldn't take much to turn this into a Nasty back breaking Ice storm north of Montgomery.