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1/6-1/7 Winter Storm Potential Thread

Blountwolf

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Watching current Jackson and Columbus, MS radar with interest - clear air mode, but lots of moisture already evident.
 

Blountwolf

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snowcoming.jpg

(FYI - light blue is 32 temp line, dark blue is 32 wet bulb. This is output from WeatherScope, from Mesonet. It's free)
 

Brax

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Most recent graphics from FFC are.... Dare I say spot on?
85k1CcF.png


rqVh9yu.png
 

Blountwolf

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Filling in nicely. Pretty quickly, too...
 

Blountwolf

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What's your favorite radar source?

I just put the nexrad level III output as an overlay on weatherscope, or use the NWS mosaics for a quick look. For winter weather, at least. The tornado chasing radar is a lot more than I need for this.
 

Lori

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I wonder if this thing is going to keep forecasting more southern jogs....it needs to slow it's roll!!
 

ARCC

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18z GFS is the just about the same. Don't let the 20-30 mile wobbles and slightly different amounts bother anyone too much. It didn't get any warmer and may be a hair colder which is the main thing. If it cuts precip by half at 0z be afraid.

That said BMX is sitting dead on with that run.
 

Blountwolf

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Gotta love being in that sliver of nothingness. It's like an abyss.

I decided about a decade ago to stop looking at models within 24 hours of a winter weather event and to just watch what it does. I'm happier for it. :)
 

ARCC

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Looking at total QPF if surface temps are off a few degrees or precip spreads further north it would get hairy quickly. It wouldn't take much to turn this into a Nasty back breaking Ice storm north of Montgomery.
 
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