Severe WX March 23-25th, 2023

[buckeye05]

EDIT: This was Florence. Oops. Actual Amory footage:

That video is from Florence, AL. That Big Dave moron on Twitter posted it as being from Amory and refused to take it down even when people confronted him about it, saying that it wasn't his fault that is was mislabeled when he found it initially.

 

[Clancy]

That video is from Florence, AL. That Big Dave moron on Twitter posted it as being from Amory and refused to take it down even when people confronted him about it, saying that it wasn't his fault that is was mislabeled when he found it initially.

Misinformation at its finest, truly.

 

[Lake Martin EF4]

That video is from Florence, AL. That Big Dave moron on Twitter posted it as being from Amory and refused to take it down even when people confronted him about it, saying that it wasn't his fault that is was mislabeled when he found it initially.

Noticed and corrected, plus posted actually Amory footage from touchdown.

 

[ColdFront]

Wow

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Trying to catch up, so over 23 people died? Any sunlight photos yet?

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Wow

That brick house was slabbed. My goodness

 

[ColdFront]

View of the Exxon in Amory:

 

[UK_EF4]

Obviously, this event was tragically destructive, from a human standpoint: but from a scientific angle I wonder why the 15% hatched MDT TOR did not verify. Both synoptics and thermodynamics seemed supportive of multiple long-tracked supercells with EF2+ tornadoes rather than a singular, violent event. Yesterday’s 20Z D1 outlook did indeed call for two or more EF2+ tornado families: “supercells, a few of which could become long-tracked...will support a threat for strong tornadoes (EF2+).” We did see multiple EF2+ tornadoes, probably multiple intense ones, but from a lone, long-tracked supercell rather than two or more. Eventually the SPC was forced to discard the MDT TOR and side with an ENH. As has been remarked upon, in recent years, apart from some exceptions now and then, we have tended to see more of these singularly significant, isolated events rather than widespread, significant outbreaks. Of course, all this is immaterial from a human standpoint, but from a scientific one I am interested in discovering the reasons as to why yesterday did not feature more widespread discrete activity, an otherwise-conducive environment notwithstanding. @Equus @CheeselandSkies @MattPetrulli

For the record: I am rather convinced that both Rolling Fork and Amory MS were/are capable and deserving of EF4+ ratings.

This rigidity in defining outbreaks and risk area is a bit silly in my opinion. Meteorology almost never has an objective set definition - a lone supercell producing 2-3 EF3+ tornadoes in my opinion is just as worthy of a moderate risk as 2-3 supercells producing one or two EF2-3 tornadoes, and in my eyes the moderate completely verified.

But I don’t think that having a scientific post analysis is a bad thing! In the case of this event, the environment was clearly favourable and able to produce violent tornadoes. The synoptic scale was supportive of intense discrete supercells, as one formed. I think there wasn’t really any particular reason for one storm as opposed to more, and just having one storm was the way this event coincidentally evolved. If we had 3 of these storms it’s not like we would be asking the question of “why weren’t there 4?”. At least that’s my line of thinking. I’m sure if an event like this were to happen almost exactly the same in some other hypothetical scenario, there would be evolutions with more than one dominant supercell. We are just lucky yesterday had one.

 

[Western_KS_Wx]

Couple of damage photos from Rolling Fork, damage like this just screams violent tornado.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

24 dead with 6 missing.

 

[Smokedevil]

That is the national guard building in the background. The main part of amory lies just beyond that.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Has Amory search and rescue been able to successfully get into much of the residential areas of Amory so far? Or is there still significant debris holding up

 

[Casuarina Head]

That is the national guard building in the background. The main part of amory lies just beyond that.

Intriguing comment on YouTube’s feed:

Jacob McCoy At least 24 killed 4 missing 16 in critical condition search and rescue continues one guy in Silver City said asphalt and concrete was pushed upward

This could be a rumour, but...

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Intriguing comment on YouTube’s feed:

This could be a rumour, but...

That's alarming if so. Almost definite ef4 if that happened

 

[ColdFront]

I don’t want to do the ratings game or compare this early, but while Amory had an extremely impressive radar presentation(could be due to its extreme close proximity to the radar) I think Rolling Forks, just judging on photos so far, looks to be the worst of the night

 

[UK_EF4]

He mentioned on a twitter video that damage gets “much worse” than that to his west, which is where the tornado seemed to peak on radar.

 

[Lake Martin EF4]

He mentioned on a twitter video that damage gets “much worse” than that to his west, which is where the tornado seemed to peak on radar.

Looking at the tiny compressed thumbnail, that's a flattened house. What the hell could have happened further west that was "much worse"?!

EDIT: Not a house, just a random pile of wood.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

.....

 

[UncleJuJu98]

 

[UK_EF4]

Awful. Reminds me of some of the towns hit by the Dec 10th 2021 tornado - that's really the only comparison I can make right now.

Edit: I see this was just posted before in the thread- sorry