Severe WX Severe Threat 25 March 2021

[Kory]

Already have two pretty mean storms in Central Alabama. Wouldn't be surprising to see something happen with one of those.

Most if not all are elevated.

 

[Chris3024]

Very heavy rainfall with the storm in Cullman with lots of lightning

 

[Richardjacks]

CAPE building in southern Miss

 

[Matthew70]

CAPE building in southern Miss View attachment 7496

Looks like could stay down there.

 

[aujerm]

So looking at the radar over MS and north AL I see quite a bit of convection firing. I would think this would help negate intensity of the afternoon “main event” storms?

 

[Rocket1]

We had moderate rain at 8:17, and now we have peeks of sun.

Location?

 

[TornadoFan]

 

[Jacob]

So looking at the radar over MS and north AL I see quite a bit of convection firing. I would think this would help negate intensity of the afternoon “main event” storms?

Unfortunately not really, the convection firing seems to line up pretty well with what the HRRR has been showing.

 

[Jpgood97]

Looks like the high risk got pulled a little to the East, unless I’m late on the scene

 

[Chris3024]

Man, this storm in Cullman is producing lightning like crazy

 

[Tyler Penland]

Last run of CIPS before go time and the top analog is definitely not what you wanna see.

Long day/night ahead.

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[The Nino]

Last run of CIPS before go time and the top analog is definitely not what you wanna see.

Long day/night ahead.

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really?

 

[NorthGaWeather]

So looking at the radar over MS and north AL I see quite a bit of convection firing. I would think this would help negate intensity of the afternoon “main event” storms?

At the moment, the current thought process is no. Rapid low-level moisture advection will offset this as large-scale ascent works on the mid-levels of the atmosphere. This should maintain severe weather threats will into northern Alabama. However, things can change.

 

[NorthGaWeather]

Last run of CIPS before go time and the top analog is definitely not what you wanna see.

Long day/night ahead.

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Yeaaaaaaaaaah. Ominous analog.

 

[warneagle]

Last run of CIPS before go time and the top analog is definitely not what you wanna see.

Long day/night ahead.

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Uh-oh.

 

[bamabelle]

Will the rain back in MS help us this morning? It looks like we will be covered up for a bit.


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[Shakespeare 2016]

Yeaaaaaaaaaah. Ominous analog.

It makes me wonder if SPC is going to put out a 45% or 60% hatched area for strong to violent tornadoes.

 

[David in SW Blount]

I still feel like this event isn't being taken nearly as seriously as 3/17 by the public. My daughter is a Senior at Samford, and they haven't even announced early dismissal.

 

[warneagle]

Will the rain back in MS help us this morning? It looks like we will he covered up for a bit.


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Probably not. It's already clearing and destabilizing in western Mississippi back behind that convection (take a look at the visible satellite screenshot upthread and you'll see what I mean).

 

[Shakespeare 2016]

I still feel like this event isn't being taken nearly as seriously as 3/17 by the public. My daughter is a Senior at Samford, and they haven't even announced early dismissal.

That is not good. People in those areas need to take this very seriously.