speedbump305
Member
Yes. Although the first round in mississippi was pretty active and produced some intense tornadoes
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Equus
Member
TOR for the big isolated supercell near Billingsley, finally
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About time the supercell near Billingsley went TOR, that thing looks MEAN on radar
Jpgood97
Member
Geez that area has been hammered
Equus
Member
Now, if they'd put the 45% right in that area, it'd have verified very well lol
akt1985
Member
Just a solid mass of rain north of Birmingham. As long as there are no tornadoes, good sleeping weather.
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If I were you I'd be up all night just in case. Better safe than sorry.
Clancy
Member
Wedge starting to erode in western Georgia.
Jpgood97
Member
I’m giving it 30 more minutes and calling it a night. Warm front just never made it far enough north to Decatur thankfully. Just been a sloppy day here
Bama Ravens
Member
Well after this line goes through, that’s it. For places like Birmingham, they’ll probably be done with this by 10:30pm.
KevinH
Member
Same... I think lol
akt1985
Member
Which is good because I didn't sleep well last night.
sak
Member
Time to stick a fork in this for areas north of I-20. It's done. Seems unlikely even areas like Selma, Montgomery, Alex City or points south see too much more either, but can't rule it out for them just yet.
Equus
Member
Portion of the line on the Walker/Jefferson line getting some kinks that might be worth watching
cincywx
Member
i understand the parameters in place may have warranted it, but issuing a new PDS watch for east MS/AL less than two hours ago may be a bit of a headscratcher. it has already been dropped for the east MS counties.
akt1985
Member
Brad Travis thinks the reason today wasn't worse than it was was because the upper level low over Missouri never became negatively tilted.
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Will the main tornado threat tomorrow come from embedded tornadoes within the squall line or isolated supercells ahead of or behind the line?
I see I didn’t miss too much today lol. Glad there haven’t been any fatalities. Looks like some pretty intense damage did occur in Chilton County, AL though.
Outbreak isn’t over until late tomorrow night into the morning after, however. Sometimes the east coast, “day 2” portion of a Dixie outbreak is more potent than expected. We’ll just have to see.
Outbreak isn’t over until late tomorrow night into the morning after, however. Sometimes the east coast, “day 2” portion of a Dixie outbreak is more potent than expected. We’ll just have to see.
Justin Hindman
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I believe three problems kept this from being a lot worse.
1. timing. The squall line was suppose to move through Birmingham around 2 am and it’s coming through around 9:30
2, a lot more storms popped up today and earlier than expected, so the atmosphere didn’t get as juiced as it could have.
3. the low level jet didn’t come in on time since the storms were way ahead of schedule.
Still a very bad day, but we are fortunate and it could of been much worse. It’s still not over, but I’m happy that it wasn’t as bad as expected for most.
1. timing. The squall line was suppose to move through Birmingham around 2 am and it’s coming through around 9:30
2, a lot more storms popped up today and earlier than expected, so the atmosphere didn’t get as juiced as it could have.
3. the low level jet didn’t come in on time since the storms were way ahead of schedule.
Still a very bad day, but we are fortunate and it could of been much worse. It’s still not over, but I’m happy that it wasn’t as bad as expected for most.
sak
Member
Yeah, that was pretty dumb imo. Made no senseto me at the time and makes less sense now.
I understand the social science standpoint that downgrading risk areas, or moving places from a PDS watch to a regular watch might make people let their guard down... but at some point, you have to forecast on what is actually happening.
On the last convective outlook, I would have completely removed the high risk and maybe even completely removed the medium risk . I'd have gone with medium or enhanced for west central AL, enhanced around that and slight risk for the TN valley