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Severe WX April 11th-13th, 2020 Severe Weather Threat

moderate pulled back out of southern Tennessee
 

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Things could get ugly if that line segment splits up and goes more discrete. Some of the CAMs hinted at that. We’ll see if that happens though.
 
Large 45% hatched wind risk added on the latest outlook, centered over Alabama.

swody1_windprob.png
 
Spann says tornado watch finally incoming; really should've been issued an hour ago
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NOXUBEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...

* UNTIL 415 PM CDT.
 
Spann says tornado watch finally incoming; really should've been issued an hour ago

Conditions are just now getting ripe for tornadoes in Alabama. The watch goes up when the ingredients come into place. Therehas been virtually no tornado threat across Alabama until... well... coming soon still.
 
Definitely keep an eye on the large cell moving northeastward from McComb, MS. Isolated, lots of open parameter space to work with, and velocity shows increasing rotation with each scan.
 
Definitely keep an eye on the large cell moving northeastward from McComb, MS. Isolated, lots of open parameter space to work with, and velocity shows increasing rotation with each scan.
Yep. A few cells now getting a look to them. The McComb MS cell is moving right into max STP parameters.
 
1375079a9be31b10f0b475b63fca73ec.jpg


The HRRR has those cells in W LA going crazy once they hit that outflow boundary and bringing the risk right back up for MS. Thoughts on this? And that southern cell coming out of the LA panhandle is expected to be very discrete and it's gaining rotation quickly as it becomes more surface based.
 
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