Severe WX May 2019 Plains Severe Event

[seasonsofweather]

anyone got the link to kfor or koco weather live stream?

 

[South AL Wx]

Probs on the PDS Watch in TX:

Tornadoes

Probability of 2 or more tornadoes	High (>95%)​
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes	High (90%)​

Source: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0197_prob.html

 

[TornadoFan]

 

[Evan]

I assume this is somehow contaminated?

 

[Equus]

95/90 probs in TX. Given the HRRR I cant see the eventual Oklahoma watch being much less than 95/95.

 

[Tennie]

There's currently two areas of CI: one to the SE of Lubbock, TX; and a second just NW of Lawton, OK.

And thus it begins...

 

[Kory]

And there’s the early marks of confluence bands in the warm sector.

 

[WesL]

Greetings all from the TalkWeather Admin and Mod Team.

We have a lot of visitors from Texas, Oklahoma and surrounding areas today! Take a moment and become a member and let us know what you see and hear in your area. Just visit https://talkweather.com/register . It is super easy to do and you can even use your Facebook, Google or Microsoft account to speed the process up.

I also wanted to let everyone know we have taken the step of adding additional server resources to the site today. We have additional resources on standby as well.

Finally, as things are set to fire up in a bit please keep in mind our posting standards for severe weather events. You can find them at https://talkweather.com/threads/posting-guidelines-during-severe-events.1235/ .

Thanks for being a part of TalkWeather. Stay safe and weather aware.

@WesL, @Jack Watkins, @Mike S, @Lori, @JayF, @greenem81, @Tyler Penland, @StormStalker and @KoD.

 

[Timhsv]

PDS WATCH....1ST CELL

 

[Equus]

>46kft already on that one. Could legitimately have an intense tornado down within the next hour or so. Meso already developing in that cell.

Super high end PDS watch for Oklahoma being coming any minute

 

[Equus]

PDS watch out. >95% on all probs. Yikes.

 

[xJownage]

That cell is going crazy, already has an overshooting top and everything. Hoping for upscale growth even seems futile at this point.

 

[JayF]

Tornado Watches just went into place for Oklahoma until 10PM

 

[Rohan]

 

[xJownage]

Storm Prediction Center PDS Tornado Watch 199

Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center.

www.spc.noaa.gov

>95% prob of every hazard. Never seen a watch with that probability on it before. To say I'm nervous would be a big understatement.

 

[DDM]

PDS watch out. >95% on all probs. Yikes.

Only the 2nd time in history according to the SPC. We all know when the first was...

 

[Equus]

Storm Prediction Center PDS Tornado Watch 199

Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center.

www.spc.noaa.gov

>95% prob of every hazard. Never seen a watch with that probability on it before. To say I'm nervous would be a big understatement.

April 27th had those probs so this would be the second time ever that I'm aware of

 

[Tennie]

This has all the potential to blow the outbreak of May 3, 1999, completely out of the water.

Let's all hope that that doesn't actually take place, but at this point...*sigh*

 

[akt1985]

I wonder if the CBS affiliate in Oklahoma City will call Gary England out of retirement for one day to come help out?

 

[Evan]

Spot the dryline...