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Severe Weather Threat November 24-25, 2025

These are likely the same storms depicted. SimRef is just a tool but discrete mode doesn't necessarily mean there is strong shear in place. Currently, all are elevated and in a 20 kt LLJ. That will increase however, and i would suspect these storms may become tornadic soon unless we continue seeing further bands of prefrontal development.
 

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This supports the idea of a upgrade to higher tornado chances for tommrow. 80% is relatively high although I think the 80% on the CIPS is a bit misplaced to where I think the higher risk area will setup.
Still pretty conditional, but amongst these kinds of setups, the ceiling is fairly high.
 
Your average 1am prefrontals in W MS! Been hinting at this sneaky, localised band as well but thermos are iffy. Tornado threat still there though


Regarding tmrw, still impressed with the prefrontal band that develops. Get a good bit of recovery + instability, with the strong low level shear and areas from W to E AL may very well see several tornadoes including a strong tornado threat at place too.
 

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Your average 1am prefrontals in W MS! Been hinting at this sneaky, localised band as well but thermos are iffy. Tornado threat still there though


Regarding tmrw, still impressed with the prefrontal band that develops. Get a good bit of recovery + instability, with the strong low level shear and areas from W to E AL may very well see several tornadoes including a strong tornado threat at place too.
Oh No.
 
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