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Severe Weather Threat 5/25-5/26, 2024


Man…. Got hit hard
What’s even more damning is that none of the damage looks particularly intense, but because the structures it hit were RV parks and aged wooden plank homes, this will end up being the deadliest single tornado so far in 2024.
 
Going to reiterate this in here: whenever you have such copious amounts of low level storm relative helicity/shear and low level moisture, do not call Forecasted Convective Amplification Deficiency until the front has passed.
 
I'm MAD. This was in NWS Fort Worth's CWA. They didn't upgrade the tornado warning for at least half an hour. Shame on them.
And no, I don't care if the general public doesn't understand between 'radar-indicated', 'radar-confirmed' and 'PDS'. If that's true then why issue them to begin with?
 
What’s even more damning is that none of the damage looks particularly intense, but because the structures it hit were RV parks and aged wooden plank homes, this will end up being the deadliest single tornado so far in 2024.
Some of the damage I've seen looks EF3-ish, and it's pretty widespread. You put a large tornado through resort/camping areas on Memorial Day Weekend at night and you're asking for big trouble.
 
Going to reiterate this in here: whenever you have such copious amounts of low level storm relative helicity/shear and low level moisture, do not call Forecasted Convective Amplification Deficiency until the front has passed.
AMEN!!!!
 
People were quick to jump on the “Forecasted Convective Amplification Deficiency” train. I’m not that surprised because of the way 2024’s been - the seemingly slam-dunk days of this year have never really verified, until now. Regardless, it isn’t something people should be doing, especially with the dynamics at play yesterday night.

Edit: didn’t see the above message that states what I just said but better, lol
 
People were quick to jump on the “Forecasted Convective Amplification Deficiency” train. I’m not that surprised because of the way 2024’s been - the seemingly slam-dunk days of this year have never really verified, until now. Regardless, it isn’t something people should be doing, especially with the dynamics at play yesterday night.

Edit: didn’t see the above message that states what I just said but better, lol
Yeah simply not good idea call event to early
It looks like I might not get much sleep tonight as the MCS is not expected to roll through north Alabama until after midnight. It stinks this had to happen on a holiday weekend but at least I don’t have to go to work tomorrow with having Memorial Day off should I need to stay up and track tonight’s action.
yea , nocturnal tornado threat also shaping up. Early out ahead of the severe MCS…. Latest guidance really Amps up the lower level jet . Anything gets out ahead discrete look out , with cape pushing 4000kj…. Shear near 60kts
 
Some of the damage I've seen looks EF3-ish, and it's pretty widespread. You put a large tornado through resort/camping areas on Memorial Day Weekend at night and you're asking for big trouble.
A replier on a YT vid reported his brother's next-door neighbors house was flattened by this, so yeah- likely EF-3
 
I'm MAD. This was in NWS Fort Worth's CWA. They didn't upgrade the tornado warning for at least half an hour. Shame on them.
And no, I don't care if the general public doesn't understand between 'radar-indicated', 'radar-confirmed' and 'PDS'. If that's true then why issue them to begin with?
I'm mad as well but with my anger directed elsewhere. The "Gov" contracted radars for the NWS in the 80's. These radars were designed in the 70's. The contract was for a certain quantity with a few spares. As of the mid 2000's, no more spares exist. The NWS has done an amazing job updating the hardware and software for these 40-year-old radars but their capacity in terms of coverage and technology has pretty much been exhausted. No matter how talented the folks are at the NWS, in the case of a severe weather outbreaks, they have been hamstrung due to outdated and insufficient technology. Our fine military industrial complex has been cranking out far superior radar technology for 20 years, but sadly these great advances have not been granted by in large to our NWS folks. Not only are the NWS folks hampered by this, but since all the fancy screens and flashy blinkies we look at are from the NWS's feeds, our weather community as a whole is hampered as well. So, Kudos to the NWS folks as well as the spotters and professionals from this community for doing their level best, but if you feel rage at events such as this, send a nastygram to your congressman.
 
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