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Hurricane LEE

JPWX

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I don't believe I've ever seen NHC explicitly forecast category 5 intensity this early in an advisory.
 

TH2002

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I don't believe I've ever seen NHC explicitly forecast category 5 intensity this early in an advisory.
IIRC they did something similar with Iota when it underwent rapid intensification (it was category 5 initially but later downgraded to category 4). Could be wrong though.
 

JPWX

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IIRC they did something similar with Iota when it underwent rapid intensification (it was category 5 initially but later downgraded to category 4). Could be wrong though.
NHC had max winds at 155mph for Iota up until the Advisory where recon found category 5 winds.
 

JPWX

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Category 3 now. That's a 45mph (75 to 120) wind increase since 4pm yesterday and a 30mb pressure drop (991 to 961) since 4pm yesterday. Since 5am this morning, we've seen a 40mph wind increase (80 to 120) and a pressure drop of 20mb (981 to 961).
 

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TornadoFan

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Category 3 now. That's a 45mph (75 to 120) wind increase since 4pm yesterday and a 30mb pressure drop (991 to 961) since 4pm yesterday. Since 5am this morning, we've seen a 40mph wind increase (80 to 120) and a pressure drop of 20mb (981 to 961).
NHC has it as a Category 4 with sustained winds of 130 mph.
 

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Buzzsaw. What a beauty.
1694121295159.png

My favorite way to see a bombing storm - 188 frame loop set to fast with the Thunderstorm Color enhancement.
 
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JPWX

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There has not been a category 5 hurricane in both the Eastern Pacific and Atlantic during the same season during a Moderate or Strong El Nino. Assuming Lee becomes a category 5, this would be the first time on record. I'm not exactly sure what categorical El Nino we're in (weak, moderate, strong) currently. The majority of Atlantic category 5's during El Nino years have occurred during weak ENSO. 2018, 2019, 1977, 2007, 2004, 1969, 1979, and 1980.
 
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