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Winter Weather 2023-2024

Do you think it will snow an inch or more in your backyard this winter?

  • Yes

    Votes: 16 69.6%
  • No

    Votes: 7 30.4%

  • Total voters
    23
  • Poll closed .

Blountwolf

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ahhh I forgot all about that haha
Well it only had it's last version released 10 years ago, you're so quick to throw it out. ;) (I know, I'm a luddite. But it worked!)
 

Blountwolf

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Glad to see the warm moist air winning handily now. Begone, icy mess.
 

Blountwolf

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Far NE Alabama may get a flizzard. (flurries)
1705686605313.png
 

WesL

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Of course, it would be a Tyson truck. Sent the link over to transportation just in case they hadn't heard how icy it is. Great shot by the way.
 

wx_guy

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The 06z GEFS American Ensemble is crazy for a Southern Snow event February 4-5! We'll have to see if there's consistency and other models come on board. The overall probability is still low-ish in most areas (10-30%) for 1-inch snowfall, but remember this is a 10:1 ratio that the GEFS uses, and Southern snowfall often has a lower ratio, making it easier to amass higher amounts. Still....a fantasy at this point, but cool to see anyway. Maybe the ingredients could actually come together in some areas. It'd be super cool for a novelty snow event in the extreme Deep South. Haven't had one in a few years.

(For the curious, for me in Tallahassee FL, the GEFS 06z run has a mean snowfall of 0.1 inches and a 3% chance of 1-inch or greater...so probably a no-go for me at least haha).

1706453762260.png1706453812568.png1706453860872.png1706453910798.png
 

JPWX

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The GEFS solution is interesting. We'll see if other models begin to latch on to this idea, but February is typically the best month for Deep South winter events (if the overall pattern favors it). The pattern going forward does favor more cold and winter weather issues for the Gulf States. Per usual, timing is gonna be everything.
 

wx_guy

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12Z GEFS also has a snowy signal, but not quite as strong. Canadian Ensemble has some extreme Deep South snow probabilities also. Still too iffy to consider seriously, just going "hmmm" at the moment.
 

UncleJuJu98

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The GEFS solution is interesting. We'll see if other models begin to latch on to this idea, but February is typically the best month for Deep South winter events (if the overall pattern favors it). The pattern going forward does favor more cold and winter weather issues for the Gulf States. Per usual, timing is gonna be everything.
This has the "look"; for sure. Let's see if all the pieces come together.
 
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