Svr Wx Event - April 15-17, 2024

[TornadoFan]

I do see an itty bitty blip going up southwest of DDC.

 

[Clancy]

Yes, have made plans to chase. Although the 0Z HRRR threw a wrench in things but not firing a robust second round of supercells like it was before. The first round with its northward-moving cells racing across the warm front and becoming elevated is the only show.

Well best of luck to you tomorrow for sure, just stay safe as always!

 

[MichelleH]

Me over here watching Wxtwitter ***coughs*** ahem TalkWeather

Me over here about to run out of bubble gum.

 

[jiharris0220]

I love this tweet, sums up wxtwitter perfectly.

 

[JPWX]

I love this tweet, sums up wxtwitter perfectly.

PERFECTO!

 

[Clancy]

I’m just a little confused, for the past 2 days everyone, or at least I thought everyone knew this was a nocturnal threat.
If that cumulus field isn’t up and going by 10pm then it will be safe to say the conditional threat was, well, a conditional threat. Day time convection being non present in Kansas shouldn’t come as a surprise, but I guess events like Apr 27th, 2011 sort of spoiled some people into thinking every event is going to start far earlier than forecasted.

Edit: that line of thunderstorms coming towards me is definitely unexpected, but I’ll take it, lol.

Admittedly I haven't been able to keep track of this setup as well as usual due to life things, and was figuring that diurnal convection was anticipated in classic Plains fashion. That said, anything that forms over the next several hours would be in a great environment, theoretically speaking, especially across Kansas.

 

[Clancy]

Well if we're to have some stars of the evening, anything that forms from this is probably going to be a top contender, as @TornadoFan mentioned.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

Admittedly I haven't been able to keep track of this setup as well as usual due to life things, and was figuring that diurnal convection was anticipated in classic Plains fashion. That said, anything that forms over the next several hours would be in a great environment, theoretically speaking, especially across Kansas.
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That was the thought around day 6 when it looked like today could have a very high ceiling, but then the model consensus quickly slowed down the trough ejection, keeping the forcing west of the dryline until close to sunset which coupled with the capping issues made daytime initiation unlikely.

 

[MichelleH]

Seriously though, if you want to act like wxtwitter, go do it on Twitter or X, or whatever the Heck you want to call it. Don't do it here. If I seem like a *blank*, that's because I am. Do not do it here.

 

[jiharris0220]

Seriously though, if you want to act like wxtwitter, go do it on Twitter or X, or whatever the Heck you want to call it. Don't do it here. If I seem like a *blank*, that's because I am. Do not do it here.

Say it louder for the people in the back ️

 

[aujerm]

I do see an itty bitty blip going up southwest of DDC.

That little blip is starting to get a few pixels of yellow in it and is headed straight for the higher parameter space the SPC outlined.

 

[JPWX]

Does anyone know what's going on with the Climate Prediction Center website?

 

[Clancy]

Another thing I didn't notice til looking at the mesoanalysis - a tremendous increase in shear.

 

[Clancy]

Does anyone know what's going on with the Climate Prediction Center website?

Different NOAA and NWS-adjacent sites have been having issues today; COD was struggling with data flow this afternoon, so they might be having outages or something.

 

[Tanner]

Seriously though, if you want to act like wxtwitter, go do it on Twitter or X, or whatever the Heck you want to call it. Don't do it here. If I seem like a *blank*, that's because I am. Do not do it here.

Yes, second this.

 

[TornadoFan]

Dewpoints in Dodge City now up to 61.

 

[Clancy]

This storm's gotten fairly tall. Definitely worth eyeing closely.

 

[aujerm]

Looks like the shower SW of Dodge city has turned into a Tstorm.

 

[Clancy]

Definitely producing some lightning.

 

[TornadoFan]

It's certainly trying to get its act together.